总环部科研生产人力资源投入产出模型研究

发布时间：2018-06-17 03:24

本文选题：人力资源模型 + 人力资源预测　；参考：《哈尔滨工业大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国航天事业的快速发展，总环部AIT业务的任务量大幅增加。由于在产品生产的不同阶段对人力的需求不同，人力资源的波动比较大。产品生产所需的操作工人培训周期长，如果不能提前做好准备，将会造成人力资源的短缺，而维持过高的人力资源水平又会带来过高的人力成本。在这一急需平衡的矛盾下，准确预测未来生产任务负荷量与可用人力资源具有重要的现实意义。针对未来较长时期内的人力资源预测与规划属于综合计划问题，，需要平衡持续波动的人力资源需求与相对保持稳定的实际人力资源水平，通过多种手段实现利益最大化的目标。对于航天产品的生产，应以确保产品的交货期为首要目标，其次考虑成本的优化。本文针对航天产品多平台的特点，面向产品装配与测试业务，建立人力资源投入产出模型，预测未来时期的生产能力，对给定的任务进行特定压力的测试，实现对未来时期内人力资源需求水平的评估。本研究主要内容包括：（1）综合分析文献中对各领域内人力资源模型的研究，寻找不同模型之间的异同，并关注各模型的显著特征。对于人力资源规划问题，从预测问题和指派问题两个角度对已有的研究进行分析，结合实际背景分析解决问题的方法。回顾文献中关于建立综合计划管理模式的研究，以及采用的不同模型与算法。（2）对产品中的每类型号平台的各工序，确定每项生产任务的工作内容，所需的操作工人的工种，以及标准工期与人力资源需求。确定各阶段可用操作工人的人力资源状况，各工种操作工人数量与生产任务负荷的匹配程度。确定在年度范围内，各类型号任务到达的时间点，以及至完工时的时间范围。（3）在准确预测未来时期内生产任务的类型与数量的前提下，对人力资源需求进行模拟，得到人力资源负荷曲线。按多种任务负荷水平进行多次模拟，得到不同负荷水平的压力测试结果。以特定型号平台为标准产品，评估综合生产能力。通过本文的研究，建立人力资源投入产出模型，实现未来时期任务负荷水平与人力资源水平较为准确的预测，提前采取调整措施，确保任务及时完成。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's aerospace industry, the AIT business of the General Department of the task volume increased significantly. Due to the different demand for human resources in different stages of product production, human resources fluctuate greatly. The production of products requires a long period of training for operational workers, if not prepared in advance, it will lead to the shortage of human resources, and maintain a high level of human resources will bring too high human costs. Under this urgent need of balance, it is of great practical significance to accurately predict the future production workload and available human resources. The prediction and planning of human resources in the long term in the future belong to the problem of comprehensive planning. It is necessary to balance the fluctuating demand of human resources with the relatively stable level of actual human resources, and to achieve the goal of maximizing the benefits through various means. For the production of aerospace products, the first objective should be to ensure the delivery time of the products, and the second consideration should be the optimization of cost. In this paper, according to the multi-platform characteristics of aerospace products, we set up a human resource input-output model for product assembly and testing business, predict the production capacity in the future period, and test the given tasks under specific pressure. To realize the evaluation of the level of human resource demand in the future period. The main contents of this study are as follows: 1) synthetically analyzing the human resource models in various fields, looking for the similarities and differences between different models, and paying attention to the remarkable characteristics of each model. For the human resource planning problem, the existing research is analyzed from the perspective of forecasting problem and assignment problem, and the method of solving the problem is analyzed in combination with the actual background. Recalling the research in the literature on the establishment of integrated planning management models, as well as the different models and algorithms used, which determine the content of each production task for each process of each type of platform in the product, The type of work required for the operator, as well as the standard duration and human resource requirements. Determine the human resource status of the operational workers in each stage and the matching degree between the number of operational workers and the production workload. Determine, within a year, the time point at which various types of tasks arrive, and the time frame from completion to completion.) on the premise of accurately predicting the type and number of production tasks in the future period, the human resource needs are simulated, The curve of human resource load is obtained. The pressure test results of different load levels are obtained by many times simulation according to various task load levels. Evaluate the comprehensive production capacity with a specific model platform as the standard product. Through the research of this paper, the author establishes the input and output model of human resources, realizes the accurate forecast of task load level and human resource level in the future period, and adopts the adjustment measures in advance to ensure the timely completion of the task.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.5;F272.92;F223

【参考文献】