工程项目中社会资本对合理风险分担的影响研究

发布时间：2018-07-03 16:09

本文选题：合理的风险分担 + 项目成功　；参考：《管理工程学报》2015年01期

【摘要】：经济活动总是嵌入在一定社会关系中的,因此,任何一个工程项目风险分担的合理性都应在社会资本的视域下考察与判断。本文通过理论分析构建工程项目中社会资本对合理风险分担的影响模型,并以30个成功建设项目为样本采集到126份有效数据,运用结构方程模型的方法进行实证分析。研究结果表明:(1)风险分担可分解为缔约阶段的风险初次分担和履约过程中的风险再分担,二者之间具有显著的互补与联动关系;(2)社会资本对风险初次分担的完备程度产生显著反向影响,而对事后支持制度产生显著正向影响,且对事后支持制度的总效应相对较大;(3)社会资本对风险再分担的规模与实施效率均产生显著正向影响,且对风险再分担的实施效率总效应最大。本研究有利于引导工程项目交易双方根据社会资本制定更为合理的风险分担方案,从而促使项目成功。
[Abstract]:Economic activities are always embedded in certain social relations. Therefore, the rationality of risk sharing in any project should be examined and judged from the perspective of social capital. In this paper, the influence model of social capital on rational risk sharing in engineering projects is analyzed theoretically, and 126 valid data are collected from 30 successful construction projects, and the structural equation model is used to carry out empirical analysis. The results show that: (1) risk sharing can be divided into the initial risk allocation in the contracting phase and the risk redistribution in the performance process. (2) Social capital has a significant reverse effect on the maturity of the initial risk sharing, while it has a significant positive impact on the ex post support system. And the overall effect on the ex post support system is relatively large; (3) Social capital has a significant positive impact on the scale and implementation efficiency of risk redistribution, and the overall effect on risk redistribution is the largest. This study is helpful to guide both parties to establish a more reasonable risk sharing scheme according to social capital, so as to promote the success of the project.
【作者单位】：天津理工大学管理学院/投资与工程造价研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71002066,71172175)
【分类号】：F283

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