基于PPP模式的城市轨道交通项目风险分担模型与机制研究

发布时间：2018-07-10 13:38

本文选题：PPP建设模式 + 城市轨道交通项目　；参考：《石家庄铁道大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：目前,城市轨道交通项目的建设在我国飞速发展,其建设模式和融资模式多种多样,而PPP(Public-Private-Partnerships)—公私合营的模式,作为一种崭新的建设模式和融资模式在实际中被广泛运用。引进该模式不仅可以缓解政府部门一定的财务压力,也能够有效促进我国城市轨道交通建设的进步。由于PPP模式本身的特点,致使在城市轨道交通项目的全生命周期建设过程中,存在较多较复杂的风险因素。风险如何分担便成为在这种公私合营模式下的城市轨道交通项目能否有效运行的关键。在项目的众多参建方中怎样合理的分担这些风险也成为各参建方关注的焦点。本论文将文献综述法与定量研究方法相融合,以这种综合的方法深层剖析PPP模式下城市轨道交通建设的风险分担。第一,通过WBS分解、RBS分解以及二维风险矩阵初步识别风险因素,通过专家访谈和文献汇总总结出基于PPP模式的城市轨道交通项目主要的27种风险;第二,确定此模式下城市轨道交通项目的风险承担者(风险分担主体),以发放调查问卷的途径找到PPP城市轨道交通项目中影响风险分担结果的最关键因素,进而从影响风险分担因素的角度构建风险分担的指标体系,此指标体系由5个一级指标和12个二级指标构成,并以此为基础,采用灰色关联理论建立PPP模式下城市轨道交通项目的风险分担模型,直至最后确定出风险承担者;第三,专门设计PPP模式下城市轨道交通项目的风险分担体制,关键就是将PPP模式下城市轨道交通项目的风险分担过程与有效利用风险分担模型相结合,制定出已识别风险的风险分担方案,此外,从制度的角度,在一定程度上激励和约束风险承担者的行为,对风险分担制度的设计主要从行为导向和行为规划两方面着手,以确保在实际中项目风险分担结果的有效实施。最后,以北京地铁14号线为例来验证此模型的有效性。
[Abstract]:At present, the construction of urban rail transit project is developing rapidly in our country, its construction mode and financing mode are various, and PPP (Public-Private-Partnerships)-public-private partnership mode, as a new construction mode and financing mode, is widely used in practice. The introduction of this model can not only alleviate the financial pressure of government departments, but also effectively promote the progress of urban rail transit construction in China. Due to the characteristics of PPP model, there are many complicated risk factors in the whole life cycle construction of urban rail transit project. How to share the risks is the key to the effective operation of urban rail transit projects under the public-private partnership mode. How to reasonably share these risks among the many participants in the project has also become the focus of attention. In this paper, the literature review method and quantitative research method are combined to deeply analyze the risk sharing of urban rail transit construction under the PPP model. First, through WBS decomposition RBS decomposition and two-dimensional risk matrix preliminary identification of risk factors, through expert interviews and literature summary based on the PPP model of urban rail transit project main 27 kinds of risks; second, Determine the risk bearer (risk sharing subject) of urban rail transit project under this mode, and find out the most critical factors that affect the risk sharing result in PPP urban rail transit project by the way of issuing questionnaire. Then the index system of risk sharing is constructed from the point of view of influencing factors of risk sharing. The index system is composed of 5 primary indexes and 12 secondary indexes, and on this basis, Using grey correlation theory to establish the risk sharing model of urban rail transit project under PPP model, until the risk bearer is finally determined. Thirdly, the risk sharing system of urban rail transit project under PPP mode is specially designed. The key is to combine the risk sharing process of urban rail transit project with the effective use of risk sharing model under the PPP model, and formulate the risk sharing scheme of identified risks. In addition, from the perspective of system, To a certain extent, the risk-sharing system is designed from the two aspects of behavior orientation and behavior planning to ensure the effective implementation of project risk sharing results. Finally, take Beijing Metro Line 14 as an example to verify the validity of the model.
【学位授予单位】：石家庄铁道大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F572;F283

【引证文献】