中国金融服务贸易流量的引力模型研究
发布时间：2018-07-20 17:22
【摘要】：自20世纪90年代,经济全球化加速发展,中国改革开放进程不断推进,中国经济的国际化程度不断提高。与此同时,服务贸易得到了飞速发展,服务贸易逐步成为各国经济竞争的核心力量,服务贸易的发展状况也成了衡量一个国家国际竞争力的重要指标之一。金融服务贸易是服务贸易极其重要的组成部分,它在经济增长中发挥的作用也越来越重大。尽管中国历年金融服务贸易虽逐渐壮大,但是却长期存在着贸易逆差的现象,有必要研究影响中国金融服务贸易流量的因素。 本文在详细分析国内外对金融服务贸易的研究文献之后,借鉴前人经验,通过引力模型对金融服务贸易流量的影响因素进行分析。文章第二部分大致介绍了中国金融服务贸易的发展现状,指出中国金融服务贸易内部结构失衡,中国金融服务贸易起步晚,缺乏创新能力以及中国金融服务贸易缺乏专业人才等问题。文章第三部分为中国金融服务贸易流量的影响因素的实证分析。第四部分是结合第四部分的实证分析结果以及贸易潜力分析结果,针对性的提出促进中国金融服务贸易发展的政策建议。 根据引力模型回归结果,贸易伙伴国的经济自由度是中国金融服务贸易出口流量的主要促进因素,中国货物出口贸易和贸易伙伴国的GDP对中国金融服务贸易出口流量具有重要的促进作用,金融危机和距离对中国金融服务贸易具有阻碍作用。根据模型中的促进因素,针对性提出加快金融服务“走出去”战略和加强政府支持力度的政策建议。结合金融危机这一阻碍因素,提出完善金融监管体系,控制金融风险以减小金融危机给中国金融服务贸易带来的冲击。结合贸易潜力分析结果提出开发中国金融服务贸易潜力的政策建议。最后结合中国金融服务贸易存在的问题,提出提高对金融服务贸易的重视力度,完善金融服务统计体系以及注重金融服务行业的专业人才培养等政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since 1990s, the economic globalization has accelerated, the process of China's reform and opening up and the internationalization of China's economy have been continuously improved. At the same time, the service trade has developed rapidly. Service trade has gradually become the core force of the economic competition of all countries, and the development of service trade is also a measure of the international competition of a country. Financial services trade is one of the most important components of the service trade. It plays a more and more important role in the economic growth. Although the financial services trade in China has grown steadily over the years, it has a long-term trade deficit, and it is necessary to study the factors that affect the trade flow of China's financial services.
After a detailed analysis of the literature on financial services trade at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the influence factors of the financial service trade flow through the gravitational model. The second part of the article roughly introduces the development status of China's financial services trade, and points out the internal structure imbalance of China's financial services trade and the Chinese finance. Service trade started late, lack of innovation ability and lack of professional talents in China's financial services trade. The third part of the article is the empirical analysis of the factors affecting the flow of financial service trade in China. The fourth part is the result of the empirical analysis combined with the fourth parts and the results of trade potential analysis. Policy recommendations for the development of trade in services.
According to the regression results of the gravitational model, the economic freedom of the trade partner countries is the main factor to promote the export flow of China's financial services trade. The GDP of China's goods export trade and trade partner countries have an important role in promoting the export flow of China's financial services trade, and the financial crisis and distance have hindrance to China's financial services trade. According to the promoting factors in the model, this paper puts forward the policy suggestions of speeding up the "going out" strategy of financial services and strengthening the support of the government. Combining the obstacles of the financial crisis, we propose to improve the financial supervision system and control the financial risk in order to reduce the impact of the financial crisis to China's financial services trade. The results of the potential analysis put forward the policy suggestions for developing the potential of China's financial services trade. Finally, combined with the problems existing in China's financial services trade, we put forward some suggestions to improve the importance of the financial services trade, improve the financial service statistics system and pay attention to the training of professional talents in the financial services industry.
【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832;F752.68;F224
本文编号：2134222
[Abstract]:Since 1990s, the economic globalization has accelerated, the process of China's reform and opening up and the internationalization of China's economy have been continuously improved. At the same time, the service trade has developed rapidly. Service trade has gradually become the core force of the economic competition of all countries, and the development of service trade is also a measure of the international competition of a country. Financial services trade is one of the most important components of the service trade. It plays a more and more important role in the economic growth. Although the financial services trade in China has grown steadily over the years, it has a long-term trade deficit, and it is necessary to study the factors that affect the trade flow of China's financial services.
After a detailed analysis of the literature on financial services trade at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the influence factors of the financial service trade flow through the gravitational model. The second part of the article roughly introduces the development status of China's financial services trade, and points out the internal structure imbalance of China's financial services trade and the Chinese finance. Service trade started late, lack of innovation ability and lack of professional talents in China's financial services trade. The third part of the article is the empirical analysis of the factors affecting the flow of financial service trade in China. The fourth part is the result of the empirical analysis combined with the fourth parts and the results of trade potential analysis. Policy recommendations for the development of trade in services.
According to the regression results of the gravitational model, the economic freedom of the trade partner countries is the main factor to promote the export flow of China's financial services trade. The GDP of China's goods export trade and trade partner countries have an important role in promoting the export flow of China's financial services trade, and the financial crisis and distance have hindrance to China's financial services trade. According to the promoting factors in the model, this paper puts forward the policy suggestions of speeding up the "going out" strategy of financial services and strengthening the support of the government. Combining the obstacles of the financial crisis, we propose to improve the financial supervision system and control the financial risk in order to reduce the impact of the financial crisis to China's financial services trade. The results of the potential analysis put forward the policy suggestions for developing the potential of China's financial services trade. Finally, combined with the problems existing in China's financial services trade, we put forward some suggestions to improve the importance of the financial services trade, improve the financial service statistics system and pay attention to the training of professional talents in the financial services industry.
【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832;F752.68;F224
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相关期刊论文 前5条
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