具损失概率厌恶和损失厌恶行为报童最优订货量分析
发布时间：2018-07-22 12:30
【摘要】：研究了具损失厌恶和损失概率厌恶行为的报童最优订货策略问题。基于累积前景理论,建立了报童凹前景值函数;比较静态分析表明,对最大损失的重视程度越大,最优订货量越小;对最大获利的重视程度越大,最优订货量越大;对损失概率敏感性越大,最优订货量越小;对损失厌恶程度越大,最优订货量越小,算例结果验证了上述分析。此外,算例结果还表明:对获利概率敏感性越大,最优订货量越大,并且有限理性行为报童最优订货量偏离完全理性行为报童最优订货量。
[Abstract]:The optimal ordering policy of newsboy with loss aversion and loss probability aversion is studied. Based on the cumulative foreground theory, the paper establishes the concavity foreground value function of newsboy, the comparative static analysis shows that the greater the attention to the maximum loss, the smaller the optimal order quantity, the greater the attention to the maximum profit, the greater the optimal order quantity. The greater the sensitivity to the loss probability, the smaller the optimal order quantity, and the greater the loss aversion, the smaller the optimal order quantity. In addition, the results also show that the more sensitive to the profit probability, the greater the optimal order quantity, and the more the optimal order quantity of the limited rational behavior newsboy deviates from the perfect rational behavior newsboy's optimal order quantity.
【作者单位】： 青岛大学;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目,项目编号:71371102 国际(地区)合作与交流项目,项目编号:71311120090
【分类号】：F274;F224
本文编号：2137470
[Abstract]:The optimal ordering policy of newsboy with loss aversion and loss probability aversion is studied. Based on the cumulative foreground theory, the paper establishes the concavity foreground value function of newsboy, the comparative static analysis shows that the greater the attention to the maximum loss, the smaller the optimal order quantity, the greater the attention to the maximum profit, the greater the optimal order quantity. The greater the sensitivity to the loss probability, the smaller the optimal order quantity, and the greater the loss aversion, the smaller the optimal order quantity. In addition, the results also show that the more sensitive to the profit probability, the greater the optimal order quantity, and the more the optimal order quantity of the limited rational behavior newsboy deviates from the perfect rational behavior newsboy's optimal order quantity.
【作者单位】： 青岛大学;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目,项目编号:71371102 国际(地区)合作与交流项目,项目编号:71311120090
【分类号】：F274;F224
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