中国刘易斯拐点判断及实证分析
发布时间：2018-09-04 10:14
【摘要】：劳动力资源是影响国家经济增长的重要因素,而人口数量及结构的变化则对国家经济产生深远的影响。自改革开发以来,中国经济保持着高速增长,该增长与我国劳动力资源较为充裕息息相关。然而,随着“民工荒”及农民工工资提高等现象的出现,国内外学者对于中国是否已经达到“刘易斯拐点”开展了诸多有益的研究和思考。从这个角度上讲,正确判断中国“刘易斯拐点”是否到来将具有一定的现实和理论意义。本文首先将对中国经济发展水平、人口结构及劳动力就业情况等现实国情进行分析,而后运用南亮进准则进行实证分析,最终得出结论及政策建议。笔者试图判断中国刘易斯拐点是否已经到来,从而为如何有助于我国经济更快增长作出有益的思考。
[Abstract]:Labor resource is an important factor affecting the national economic growth, and the changes of population and structure have a profound impact on the national economy. Since the reform and development, China's economy has maintained a rapid growth, which is closely related to the abundant labor resources. However, with the emergence of the phenomenon of "shortage of migrant workers" and the rise of migrant workers' wages, scholars at home and abroad have carried out many useful studies and thoughts on whether China has reached the "Lewis inflection point". From this point of view, it is of practical and theoretical significance to correctly judge the arrival of Lewis inflection point in China. This paper first analyzes the real situation of China's economic development level, population structure and labor force employment, and then makes an empirical analysis by using the Nanliangjin criterion, and finally draws conclusions and policy recommendations. The author tries to judge whether the turning point of Lewis in China has come or not, so as to give some useful thoughts on how to help China's economy grow faster.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F249.2
本文编号：2221784
[Abstract]:Labor resource is an important factor affecting the national economic growth, and the changes of population and structure have a profound impact on the national economy. Since the reform and development, China's economy has maintained a rapid growth, which is closely related to the abundant labor resources. However, with the emergence of the phenomenon of "shortage of migrant workers" and the rise of migrant workers' wages, scholars at home and abroad have carried out many useful studies and thoughts on whether China has reached the "Lewis inflection point". From this point of view, it is of practical and theoretical significance to correctly judge the arrival of Lewis inflection point in China. This paper first analyzes the real situation of China's economic development level, population structure and labor force employment, and then makes an empirical analysis by using the Nanliangjin criterion, and finally draws conclusions and policy recommendations. The author tries to judge whether the turning point of Lewis in China has come or not, so as to give some useful thoughts on how to help China's economy grow faster.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F249.2
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