中国沿海地区工业化与城市化协调发展的影响因素研究

发布时间：2019-02-23 16:03

【摘要】：工业化与城市化作为经济发展过程中相伴产生、不可分割的两方面，二者的协调发展对经济健康运行有至关重要的影响。两化的协调发展一直都是国内外最热的经济问题之一，保持两化协调发展，避免互相脱离、不协调的情况出现是经济发展的要义和实践的要求。前任学者的研究主要有三个不足之处：从研究对象上看，多是从宏观的国家或者省域着手，缺少立足在城市微观层面的分析，忽略了两化在同一个国家不同区域的巨大差异；从研究方法上看，大多通过对比国际经验或建立两化单一指标对比研究，忽略了我国两化问题的特殊性，单一指标片面、使用混乱现状及指标选取不同对结论准确性影响巨大的缺陷；从研究结论上看，大多止步于研究两化“是否”协调，没有研究两化协调性的影响因素，不能为宏观政策的制定提供微观的理论支持。本文对工业化相关理论、城市化相关理论以及两化关系的相关理论都作出了系统分析，其中重点是两化关系的理论分析，分析了两化协调发展的内涵、特征、模式和影响因素。在理论分析指导下，进行实证分析，立足于以下突破：研究对象方面，选择我国改革开放以后经济变化最剧烈发展最快的东部沿海地区，以沿海除港澳台之外的11个省区的114个地级市城市为目标；研究方法方面，建立了两化协调复合指标体系，运用因子分析方法得出以上114个地级市城市2002-2011共10年的协调度，并以协调度为因变量，提出假设，建立面板回归模型，回归分析两化协调影响因素；研究结论方面，通过因子分析测度出了上述114个地级市城市10年的两化协调性水平，并且通过回归分析找出了影响目标区域两化协调度的6个主要因素：经济发展水平、区位优势、服务业就业比重、资本密集型产业投资倾向、科教投入和环境因素。实证分析结果表明要促进我国沿海地区工业化与城市化的协调发展，，就要保持经济的可持续发展、发挥核心重点城市的区位辐射效应、扩大三产服务业就业、加大劳动密集型产业的投资力度、坚持科教事业发展、注意环境的保护等。
[Abstract]:Industrialization and urbanization come into being together in the process of economic development. The coordinated development of both plays an important role in the healthy operation of economy. The coordinated development of the two transformation has always been one of the hottest economic problems at home and abroad. Keeping the coordinated development of the two systems and avoiding the separation from each other is the essential meaning of economic development and the requirement of practice. The former scholars' research mainly has three shortcomings: from the point of view of the research object, mostly from the macroscopic country or the province domain, lacks based on the city microscopic level analysis, has neglected the two turns in the same country different region huge difference; From the point of view of the research methods, most of them ignore the particularity of the two modernization problems and single index is one-sided by comparing the international experience or establishing a comparative study of two single indexes. (3) the defects of using chaotic status quo and different selection of indicators which have great influence on the accuracy of conclusions; From the point of view of the conclusion of the study, most of them stop at the study of whether the two processes are coordinated, and do not study the influencing factors of the coordination of the two processes, which can not provide microscopic theoretical support for the formulation of macro policies. In this paper, the theory of industrialization, the theory of urbanization and the theory of the relationship between the two processes are systematically analyzed, among which the emphasis is on the theoretical analysis of the relationship between the two transformation, and the connotation, characteristics, mode and influencing factors of the coordinated development of the two processes are analyzed. Under the guidance of theoretical analysis, the empirical analysis is based on the following breakthroughs: in terms of research objects, choose the eastern coastal areas, which have the fastest economic changes since the reform and opening up. The target is 114 prefecture-level cities in 11 provinces and districts in the coastal areas except Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan; In the aspect of research methods, the paper establishes the composite index system of coordination between the two cities, and uses factor analysis method to get the coordination degree of the above 114 prefectural cities for 10 years from 2002 to 2011. Taking the coordination degree as the dependent variable, the paper puts forward the hypothesis and establishes the panel regression model. Regression analysis; In the aspect of the research conclusion, the paper measures the coordination level of the above 114 cities in 10 years by factor analysis, and finds out the six main factors that influence the coordination degree of the target region by regression analysis: the level of economic development. Location advantage, employment proportion of service industry, investment tendency of capital-intensive industry, input of science and education and environmental factors. The results of empirical analysis show that in order to promote the coordinated development of industrialization and urbanization in coastal areas of China, it is necessary to maintain the sustainable development of the economy, give full play to the regional radiation effect of the key cities, and expand the employment of the third industry service industry. Increase investment in labor-intensive industries, adhere to the development of science and education, pay attention to the protection of the environment.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F427;F299.27

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