考虑风险传导情形的供应风险评估方法
发布时间：2019-04-26 06:42
【摘要】：针对考虑风险传导情形的供应风险评估问题,提出了一种基于贝叶斯网络的供应风险评估方法。该方法中,通过识别引起供应链中各节点企业供应风险的关键风险因素,构建一个贝叶斯网络,并依据贝叶斯公式计算考虑风险传导情形下供应风险的发生概率,在此基础上,对考虑风险传导的供应风险进行评估。最后,通过一个算例说明了该方法的可行性和有效性。
[Abstract]:In this paper, a Bayesian network-based supply risk assessment method is proposed for the supply risk assessment problem considering the risk transmission case. In this method, a Bayesian network is constructed by identifying the key risk factors that cause the supply risk of each node in the supply chain, and the probability of supply risk in the case of risk transmission is calculated according to Bayesian formula, and then the probability of supply risk in the case of risk transmission is calculated on the basis of the Bayesian network. Evaluate the supply risk that takes into account risk transmission. Finally, an example is given to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the method.
【作者单位】： 东北大学工商管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71271051) 辽宁省教育厅人文社会科学重点研究基地专项项目(ZJ2014020)
【分类号】：F274;F224
[Abstract]:In this paper, a Bayesian network-based supply risk assessment method is proposed for the supply risk assessment problem considering the risk transmission case. In this method, a Bayesian network is constructed by identifying the key risk factors that cause the supply risk of each node in the supply chain, and the probability of supply risk in the case of risk transmission is calculated according to Bayesian formula, and then the probability of supply risk in the case of risk transmission is calculated on the basis of the Bayesian network. Evaluate the supply risk that takes into account risk transmission. Finally, an example is given to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the method.
【作者单位】： 东北大学工商管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71271051) 辽宁省教育厅人文社会科学重点研究基地专项项目(ZJ2014020)
【分类号】：F274;F224
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前8条
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3 夏U，
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