地方债规模增长的一个解释框架

发布时间：2018-02-22 08:44

本文关键词： 地方债财政能力财政赤字预算软约束　出处：《当代经济科学》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：地方债规模增长是引发地方债务风险的重要方面。治理地方债规模的过快增长需要从理论和实证上识别其形成机制。本文首次从地方财政能力的视角建立了解释地方债规模增长的理论框架,克服了以往研究集中于需求方面的局限。本文研究发现,财政能力对地方债务规模具有重要的影响,尤其对东部地区而言更是如此;对于中西部地区,财政收支缺口的压力对债务规模增长不可小觑。对地方债规模增长成因的解释,意味着政策导向应立足于策略性调整财政分配关系,并从地方债管理的角度,建立可靠的偿债机制和制度法律约束。
[Abstract]:The size of local government debt growth is the important causes of local debt risk. The governance of local debt scale growth need to identify the formation mechanism from the theoretical and empirical analysis. In this paper, for the first time from the local finance capability from the perspective of a theoretical framework to explain the size of local government debt growth, which overcomes the limitations of the research focused on the demand. This study found that the fiscal capacity has an important influence on the size of local debt, especially in the eastern region is even more so; for the Midwest, the fiscal gap pressure on the growth of debt should not be overlooked. To explain the causes of debt growth, means that the policy should be based on the strategic adjustment of financial distribution relation, and from the place the debt management perspective, to establish a debt mechanism and system of legal constraints and reliable.

【作者单位】：山东大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“深化收入分配制度改革的财税机制与制度研究”(13&ZD031);国家社科基金重点项目“深化税收制度改革与完善地方税体系研究”(14AZD023)
【分类号】：F812.5

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