基于风险传递的公共项目风险分配研究

发布时间：2018-02-27 08:36

本文关键词： 公共项目风险分配风险传递　出处：《开发研究》2012年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：公共项目特有的社会性和经济性双重特性导致其风险的外部性由政府买单现象以及风险分配的无效性成为限制项目成果的关键要素。本文旨在建立公平性和效益性兼具的公共项目风险分配模型。首先在风险原定义基础上给出了大型公共项目风险的定义,并对其传递性特征进行了分析。其次借鉴投入产出法分析了基于风险传递效应的公共项目风险产出过程,为科学的风险分配提供基础。最后构建了以项目风险转移总成本最小、以各个项目参与主体的风险产出与抗风险能力为约束条件的风险分配规划模型;算例验证了模型的操作性,结果表明合理的设置风险转移成本不仅可以实现风险的有效分配,还可以很好地控制在公共项目合作过程中其他项目参与主体无限制的向政府转移风险的现象。
[Abstract]:The dual characteristics of social and economic characteristics of public projects lead to the externality of the risks. The phenomenon of government paying the bill and the ineffectiveness of risk allocation are the key factors to limit the project results. This paper aims to establish fairness and efficiency. Based on the definition of risk source, the definition of risk of large public project is given. Secondly, using the input-output method to analyze the process of public project risk output based on risk transfer effect, it provides the basis for scientific risk distribution. Finally, the project risk transfer total cost is minimum. The risk allocation planning model based on the risk output and anti-risk ability of the participants of each project is used as the constraint condition, and the operation of the model is verified by an example. The results show that the reasonable setting of risk transfer cost can not only realize the effective allocation of risk. It can also control the risk transfer from other project participants to the government in the process of public project cooperation.
【作者单位】：天津商业大学公共管理学院;河北工业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“大型公共项目风险传递机制及其防控研究”(10YJC630264)
【分类号】：F062.4;F224

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