中国森林碳汇价值核算研究

发布时间：2018-03-31 21:55

  本文选题：中国　切入点：森林碳汇　出处：《北京林业大学学报》2013年06期

【摘要】：为了更好地评估我国森林碳汇对气候变化的影响和对经济发展的贡献,促进碳汇市场的发展,采用国民经济核算(SNA)的方法,根据最新的森林资源清查数据,对2003—2008年的森林碳汇进行了核算研究。结果表明,2003—2008年,我国森林碳储量、碳汇量是增加的,二者年均增长3.55%左右。在价值核算上,2003年我国森林碳储量价值为7 291.85亿元,2008年为7 286.30亿元,年均减少约0.015%。2003、2008年森林碳汇价值量分别为258.67亿和258.51亿元,年均减少0.034%,这主要是由于森林碳汇价格下降引起的。另外,2003年我国森林碳汇总产值约占林业总产值的4.41%,2008年约占林业总产值的1.79%。2003—2008年,森林碳汇的eaGDP(environment adjusted GDP)增长速度为17.21%,超过了同期GDP的平均增长速度(9.5%),但在此期间,森林碳存量价值、流量价值均有所下降。研究也表明,我国森林碳汇对经济的影响尤其是对GDP的影响大约在0.1%~0.2%之间,其经济潜力并不是十分巨大。研究建议,需要对森林碳汇市场有一个清楚的认识,一味地强调森林碳汇的市场作用和空间并不利于解决森林生态、气候变化等问题,更不利于林业的长期发展。
[Abstract]:In order to better assess the impact of forest carbon sinks on climate change and the contribution of forest carbon sinks to economic development and promote the development of carbon sink markets in China, the national economic accounting (SNA) method is adopted, based on the latest inventory data of forest resources, The forest carbon sinks from 2003 to 2008 are studied. The results show that the forest carbon stocks and carbon sinks in China increased from 2003 to 2008. The value of forest carbon storage in China was 7 29.185 billion yuan in 2003 and 7 28.63 billion yuan in 2008, which decreased by 0.015.2003.The value of forest carbon sink in 2008 was 25.867 billion yuan and 25.851 billion yuan respectively. The annual decrease of 0.034% is mainly caused by the decrease in forest carbon sink prices. In addition, the total value of forest carbon sinks in China accounted for 4.41% of the total forestry output value in 2003 and 1.79% of the total forestry output value in 2008. The eaGDP(environment adjusted growth rate of forest carbon sinks was 17.21, which exceeded the average growth rate of GDP in the same period by 9.5%, but during this period, the value of forest carbon stock and the value of flow decreased. The impact of forest carbon sinks on the economy, especially on GDP, is about 0.2%, and its economic potential is not very great. It is suggested that there should be a clear understanding of the forest carbon sink market. The emphasis on the market function and space of forest carbon sink is not conducive to solving the problems of forest ecology and climate change, and is not conducive to the long-term development of forestry.
【作者单位】： 北京林业大学经济管理学院;国家林业局造林绿化管理司;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(09YJA910001) 林业公益性行业科研专项(201204107)
【分类号】：X196;F326.2
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本文编号：1692615