凯恩斯流动性陷阱理论乃伪命题之论证——基于全口径、全过程及“三条龙”规律的分析

发布时间：2018-05-05 13:59

本文选题：流动性陷阱 + “三条龙”定律　；参考：《现代财经(天津财经大学学报)》2011年12期

【摘要】：凯恩斯宏观管理理论认为,市场经济具有有效需求不足的必然性,由于存在"流动性"陷阱问题,货币政策本身是无效的,宏观管理必须依靠实施赤字财政政策以解决有效需求不足问题。本文研究表明,"流动性陷阱"的存在并不意味着货币政策失效。从全口径的角度分析,"流动性陷阱"表明货币政策对证券市场直接有效,对实体经济间接有效;从全过程角度分析,"流动性陷阱"具有暂时性,一般只存在几个月,这是货币政策有效的另一表现形式,即存在政策时滞;从实体经济、虚拟经济、货币政策的"三条龙"运行规律分析,则实体经济、虚拟经济和货币政策之间具有协调运行的特征,运行中存在非同步性。在边际消费递减规律被证明并不存在的背景下,凯恩斯宏观管理理论的三大假设条件都被证实是伪命题,因此,凯恩斯宏观管理理论完全是非科学的。
[Abstract]:Keynesian macro-management theory holds that the market economy has the inevitability of insufficient effective demand, because of the "liquidity" trap, monetary policy itself is ineffective. Macro-management must rely on deficit fiscal policy to solve the problem of insufficient effective demand. This study shows that the existence of a liquidity trap does not mean that monetary policy is ineffective. From a full-caliber point of view, the "liquidity trap" indicates that monetary policy is directly effective for the securities market and indirectly effective for the real economy. From the perspective of the whole process, the "liquidity trap" is temporary and generally exists for only a few months. This is another manifestation of the effectiveness of monetary policy, that is, there is a policy lag. From the analysis of the "three dragons" of real economy, fictitious economy and monetary policy, the real economy, The virtual economy and monetary policy have the characteristics of coordinated operation, and there is non-synchronism in the operation. Under the background that the law of marginal consumption decline has not existed, the three hypotheses of Keynes' macro-management theory have been proved to be false propositions. Therefore, Keynesian macro-management theory is totally unscientific.
【作者单位】：中南大学商学院;
【分类号】：F091.348

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