经济学中的不确定性——一种经济哲学视角的考察

发布时间：2018-06-18 16:07

本文选题：不确定性 + 经济学　；参考：《人文杂志》2013年01期

【摘要】：长期以来,正统经济学要么无视不确定性的存在,要么把不确定性视为威胁,要么以假定的方式放逐对不确定性的研究。这不但与当今世界日益进入深度不确定性的事实不符,而且与现代科学揭示的不确定性世界观自相违背。细加追究可以发现,即便是经济学视域中的不确定性也会涉及很多哲学层面的问题:何谓不确定性?存在哪些不确定性类型?其界分标准是什么?不确定性与概率论、知识观、理性观和预期的关系如何?其哲学思想渊源如何?所有这些问题与经济理论有何内生关系?等等。一旦这些问题获得合理的解答,不确定性蕴含的如下经济理论意义就会凸显出来:不确定性是对机会的一种量度;不确定性是人的一种存在方式;不确定性开辟了经济学思维的新空间;不确定性提供了观察经济问题的新视角;不确定性建构了经济学话语的新体系;不确定性开启了解释经济世界的新范式。
[Abstract]:For a long time, orthodox economics has either ignored the existence of uncertainty, regarded it as a threat, or banished the study of uncertainty in a hypothetical manner. This is not only inconsistent with the fact that the world is increasingly deeply uncertain, but also contradicts the uncertain worldview revealed by modern science. Even the uncertainty in the economic horizon can be found to involve a lot of philosophical questions: what is uncertainty? What types of uncertainties exist? What are the criteria for its demarcation? What is the relationship between uncertainty and probability theory, knowledge view, rational view and expectation? What is the origin of his philosophy? What is the endogenous relationship between all these problems and economic theory? Wait Once these questions have been solved reasonably, the following economic theoretical implications of uncertainty will be highlighted: uncertainty is a measure of opportunity, uncertainty is a way of human existence, uncertainty is a measure of opportunity, and uncertainty is a measure of opportunity. Uncertainty opens up a new space for economic thinking; uncertainty provides a new perspective to observe economic problems; uncertainty constructs a new system of economic discourse; uncertainty opens a new paradigm for explaining the economic world.
【作者单位】：上海社会科学院哲学所;
【基金】：2009年度国家社科基金重大课题(项目号:09&ZD001) 2010年度教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(项目编号:10YJC720062) 中国博士后科学基金第四十八批面上资助项目(项目号:20100480564)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F091.3

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