河流生态恢复意愿调查居民支付与否的经济学分析——基于上海城市河流2010年和2006年数据的比较

发布时间：2018-06-22 05:32

本文选题：意愿价值评估法 + 生态系统服务　；参考：《西北人口》2012年01期

【摘要】：意愿价值评估法(CVM)应用于生态服务价值评估时,零支付意愿的处理直接影响结果的估计值。我国特有的社会结构和发展阶段使得零支付意愿的原因复杂化、特殊化。在2006年研究成果的基础上,应用CVM方法于2010年再次调查上海居民对城市内河生态恢复的支付意愿(WTP),问卷中增加了对居民家庭中工作人口数量、房屋产权情况、是否步行到达河边等因素的调查。采用Logit概率模型分析影响居民支付与否的主要影响因素。结果显示:非高等教育、非沪户籍、老年人、对水体环境不满意、距离河流较远等因素增加了居民不愿意支付的概率。与2006年调查相比较,户籍、教育等因素影响呈现一定稳定性。沿河居住时期、家庭中工作人口数等因素呈现不同影响。最后指出:我国经济转型阶段的社会结构、制度安排等造成CVM支付意愿和真实需求之间的偏离,应用CVM方法及结果时须考虑这一效应。
[Abstract]:When CVM is applied to the valuation of ecological services, the treatment of zero payment will directly affects the estimated value of the result. The unique social structure and development stage of our country complicate the reason of zero-payment intention. Based on the research results in 2006, the CVM method was used to investigate Shanghai residents' willingness to pay for urban inland river ecological restoration (WTP) again in 2010. The questionnaire increased the number of working population and the housing property rights of residents. A survey of factors such as walking to the river. Logit probabilistic model is used to analyze the main factors that affect the residents' payment. The results show that non-higher education, non-Shanghai household registration, the elderly, dissatisfied with the water environment, far away from the river increase the probability of residents unwilling to pay. Compared with the survey in 2006, household registration, education and other factors showed a certain stability. During the period of living along the river, the number of working population in the family showed different influences. Finally, it is pointed out that the deviation between the willingness to pay and the real demand of CVM is caused by the social structure and institutional arrangement in the stage of economic transformation in China. This effect should be considered when applying the CVM method and its results.
【作者单位】：上海师范大学环境科学与工程系;浙江理工大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金(40901291) 上海师范大学理科科研基金(DKL844),上海师范大学博士启动基金(PL813)
【分类号】：X196;X171.4

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