regional quality social utility ＂with＆without＂ system dynami

  本文关键词：区域质量与高速铁路社会效用——关于高速铁路建设时机的研究，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。

区域质量与高速铁路社会效用——关于高速铁路建设时机的研究

Relationship between Regional Quality and HSR Social Utility： A Study on How to Choose Construction Opportunity of HSR

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LIN Xiao-yan, LUO Shen, ZHU Zhi-hang （ SEM,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044, China）

北京交通大学经济管理学院,北京100044

文章摘要：本文定义高速铁路的建设时机与高速铁路建设时沿线区域的质量相关。本文基于＂有无法＂通过研究京广高铁对沿线城市产生的社会效用推演出沿线区域质量与高铁社会效用之间的关系,进而推断高铁最佳的建设时机。认为：区域质量为人均GDP20000元以下、第三产业就业及结构比例较为平均,高铁对于区域产生的社会效用最高,是高铁的最佳建设时机;区域质量为人均GDP20000元-50000元、第三产业就业及结构比例较为均衡时,高铁会带来一定的效用;对于人均GDP50000元以上的区域,高铁建设将使区域的发展得到二次提升。当区域质量不符合上述条件时,如贫穷没有特殊资源的地区,尽管高铁投资效应会对区域经济产生一定的促进效果,但因高铁作用的长期发挥需要与当地经济社会发展和谐契合,容易造成经济发展的短期停滞。

Abstr：It is defined in this paper that the construction opportunity of high-speed railway is related to the regions along the high speed railway. Based on the ＂with/without method＂, the influences of the regional quality along the lines on the social utility of high-speed rail is deduced through researching the social utility of Beijing-Guangzhou High-speed Rail on the cities along the line, so as to infer that high-speed rail is the best construction opportunity. It is believed that when the GDP per capita is below RMB 20000 yuan, the employment level and structure of tertiary industry is relatively average, the social utility of high-speed rail for region is the highest and the construction opportunity of the high-speed rail is the best. When the GDP per capita is between RMB 20000 to 50000 yuan and the employment level and structure of tertiary industry is relatively average, the High-speed rail will bring certain utility. When the GDP per capita is above RMB 50000 yuan,high-speed rail will further boost the development of the regionWhen the above regional quality can not be met,such as poor areas without special resources, short-term economic stagnations may be caused by improper opportunity selections because the long-term role of high-speed should be in line with the local economic and social development, although high-speed rail investment effects can impact certain promoting effects on the regional economy.

文章关键词：

Keyword：:regional quality social utility ＂with＆without＂ system dynamics construction opportunity of HSR

课题项目：国家社科基金后期资助项目《高速铁路在现代区域经济社会发展中的基础作用》（13FJY008）

作者信息：会员可见

  本文关键词：区域质量与高速铁路社会效用——关于高速铁路建设时机的研究，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。