京九铁路对临近城市的经济影响

发布时间：2018-02-05 19:30

本文关键词： 京九铁路国内生产总值居民收入双重差分　出处：《山东大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：2015年12月19日山东大学县域发展研究院发布了《中国县域居民发展指数报告》。借助数据可视化工具县域发展研究院课题组的老师们发现,京九铁路沿途城市的县域居民发展指数较其周边县域的居民发展指数更低。因此本文研究了京九铁路对其临近非中心城市的经济影响。关于交通基础设施的研究属于新经济地理学的内容。相关研究发现交通基础设施通过对运输成本的影响对经济产生作用。但对于非中心城市而言,交通基础设施的改善对经济的影响较为复杂,即可能存在正向的影响也可能存在负向的影响,需要具体问题具体分析。具体的本文以京九铁路沿途95个地级市(非中心城市)作为研究对象,借助XGeocoding_v2批量获取了京九所经过省份的地级市市政府以及京九铁路各站点的经纬度数据,并借助地理学软件ArcGIS,由经纬度数据计算出各市与京九铁路站点的最近距离,然后设定了不同的距离阈值,若市与站点的最近距离小于距离阈值则为实验组,反之则为控制组。继而采用双重差分法比较了控制组和实验组在1993年之前和1996年之后实际国内生产总值以及城镇居民人均可支配收入差异的变化,估计了京九铁路对临近城市的经济影响。结果发现就京九铁路而言,其对临近非中心城市的实际GDP存在显著的负面影响。进一步分析发现京九铁路对临近非中心城市实际GDP的负面影响是因为京九铁路完成建设之后虽然增加了临近非中心城市的固定资产投资,但却减少了临近非中心的政府支出,而后者的负面影响超过了前者的正面影响。另外实证结果发现京九铁路对其临近城市城镇居民人均可支配收入无显著影响。
[Abstract]:In December 19th 2015, the Research Institute of County Development of Shandong University published the report on the Development Index of County residents in China. The teachers of the research group of the Research Institute of County Development of Shandong University found that with the aid of data visualization tools. The development index of county residents in the cities along the Beijing-Kowloon Railway is lower than that in the surrounding counties. Therefore, this paper studies the economic impact of the Beijing-Kowloon Railway on the adjacent non-central cities. It belongs to the content of New Economic Geography. Related studies have found that transportation infrastructure has an effect on the economy through the impact on transport costs, but for non-central cities. The improvement of transport infrastructure has a more complex impact on the economy, that is, there may be positive or negative effects. This paper takes 95 prefecture-level cities (non-central cities) along the Beijing-Kowloon Railway as the research object. With the help of XGeocoding_v2, the longitude and latitude data of the prefecture-level municipal government and the Beijing-Kowloon railway stations were obtained in batches, and the geographical software ArcGIS was used. The nearest distance between each city and Beijing-Kowloon railway station is calculated from longitude and latitude data, and then different distance threshold is set. If the nearest distance between city and station is less than distance threshold, it is the experimental group. On the contrary, it is the control group. Then, the difference between the control group and the experimental group before 1993 and after 1996 was compared with the difference of the per capita disposable income between the control group and the experimental group. The economic impact of the Beijing-Kowloon Railway on the neighboring cities is estimated. The results show that the Beijing-Kowloon Railway is concerned. Further analysis shows that the negative effect of Beijing-Kowloon Railway on the actual GDP of adjacent non-central cities is due to the increase in the number of Beijing-Kowloon Railway after the completion of the construction of the Beijing-Kowloon Railway. Plus fixed asset investment in nearby non-central cities. However, the government spending near the non-center is reduced, and the negative impact of the latter exceeds the positive impact of the former. In addition, the empirical results show that the Beijing-Kowloon Railway has no significant impact on the per capita disposable income of residents living in nearby cities and towns.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127;F532.8

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