低碳交通的经济学分析

发布时间：2018-03-01 09:21

本文关键词： 低碳交通阶段性特征结构优化转型机理区域交通模式　出处：《浙江理工大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：交通部门碳排放的严峻形势,已经引起了世界各国的关注。随着工业化、城镇化进程的推进,中国交通部门二氧化碳排放将呈现出“跳跃式”增长的趋势。交通部门低碳化转型已成为一项现实而紧迫的问题。然而交通低碳化转型之前,首先必须判定中国交通碳排放类型,这直接决定了交通发展的方向。其次,阶段性发展特征对于中国交通碳排放的影响机制还待于探讨。再者,高碳交通向低碳交通转型的机理还有待于研究。最后,在区域协调发展的背景下,交通低碳化的转型还必须与阶段化发展相匹配。因此,深入开展低碳交通研究对于中国可持续发展具有重要的现实和理论意义。本文运用比较分析法、模型分析法、计量分析法等,研究了中国交通部门低碳化转型的问题。主要回答了中国交通碳排放类型、阶段性发展特征对于中国交通碳排放的影响机制、交通低碳化转型的机理机制、基于低碳理念的区域交通模式等理论性问题。通过低碳交通研究,得出以下结论：(1)中国交通碳排放属于高碳排放。通过与发达国家的横向比较,可发现中国交通部门碳排放效率处于较低水平。(2)阶段性发展特征对于交通碳排放影响显著。产业结构的调整有助于交通碳减排,而城镇化的进程促进了交通碳排放。(3)交通结构优化、紧凑型城镇化模式、经济结构调整等有助于高碳交通的低碳化转型。其中交通需求侧的税收、补贴等财税手段是主要的内生调节变量,经济结构下的技术升级、紧凑型城镇化模式创建、制度的低碳化供给等是主要的外生调节变量。(4)构建了基于低碳理念的四种区域交通模式：长三角模式、珠三角模式、渤海湾模式、中西部模式。(5)提出了交通基础设施低碳化供给战略、制度低碳化供给战略、技术低碳化供给战略、产业结构的低碳化引导战略、差异化的低碳区域交通模式构建战略等对策建议。本文创新点是判定了中国交通部门碳排放类型、构建了中国交通部门碳排放增长的驱动因素分析模型、剖析了高碳交通向低碳交通转型的机理机制、构建了基于低碳理念的区域交通模式等。
[Abstract]:The severe situation of carbon emissions from the transport sector has attracted the attention of all countries in the world. With the development of industrialization and urbanization, Carbon dioxide emissions from China's transport sector will show a "jump" trend. The transition to low-carbon transport sector has become a real and urgent problem. However, before the transition of low-carbon traffic, we must first judge the type of carbon emissions in China's traffic, which directly determines the direction of transport development. Secondly, the impact mechanism of the phased development characteristics on China's traffic carbon emissions remains to be explored. The mechanism of transition from high-carbon transportation to low-carbon transportation needs to be studied. Finally, under the background of coordinated regional development, the transition of low-carbon traffic must be matched with the development of stage. Further research on low-carbon transportation has important practical and theoretical significance for China's sustainable development. In this paper, comparative analysis, model analysis and econometric analysis are used to study the problem of low-carbon transformation in China's transport sector. The influence mechanism of stage development characteristics on China's traffic carbon emissions, the mechanism mechanism of traffic low-carbon transition, the regional transport mode based on low-carbon concept, etc. Through low-carbon transport research, Come to the following conclusion: 1) China's traffic carbon emissions are high carbon emissions. It can be found that the carbon emission efficiency of China's transport sector is at a relatively low level. (2) the characteristics of the phased development have a significant impact on the transport carbon emissions, and the adjustment of industrial structure contributes to the reduction of transport carbon emissions. The process of urbanization promotes the optimization of transport structure, the compact urbanization model, the adjustment of economic structure, and so on, which contributes to the low-carbon transformation of high-carbon transport. Subsidies and other means of finance and taxation are the main endogenous adjustment variables, technological upgrading under the economic structure, the creation of a compact urbanization model, This paper constructs four regional traffic modes based on low-carbon concept: Yangtze River Delta model, Pearl River Delta model, Bohai Bay model, etc. The central and western model. 5) put forward the low carbonization supply strategy of transportation infrastructure, the system low carbon supply strategy, the technology low carbonization supply strategy, the low carbonization guiding strategy of the industrial structure. Differential low-carbon regional transport mode construction strategy and other countermeasures. The innovation of this paper is to determine the types of carbon emissions in China's transport sector, to build a driving factor analysis model of carbon emissions growth in China's transport sector, and to analyze the mechanism of the transition from high-carbon transport to low-carbon transport. The regional traffic model based on low-carbon concept is constructed.
【学位授予单位】：浙江理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F512;F205

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