低碳交通发展模式及对策研究

发布时间：2018-03-02 01:06

本文关键词： 低碳交通发展模式对策节能减排碳排放情景分析法层次分析法　出处：《长沙理工大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放三十年以来，我国经济快速增长，对交通运输的需求不断上升，交通运输业的能源需求及污染物排放均急剧增长。2010年我国交通运输业的能耗大约占全社会总能耗的9％左右。为缓解交通运输业的能源消耗，减少其碳排放，，国务院已将交通运输行业作为节能减排的重点行业之一，并明确要求加快建设以低碳排放为特征的交通运输体系。同时，国务院已将城市碳排放作为约束性指标纳入到对当地政府的考核，城市交通作为仅次于工业的碳排放大户，碳排放压力巨大。因此，发展低碳交通已成为各个城市的必然选择，在此背景下，本论文就低碳交通发展模式及对策进行研究，以期为城市低碳交通发展提供参考。本论文主要对低碳交通的内涵及影响因素、低碳交通的发展模式及其发展对策三个关键问题进行研究。在低碳交通内涵及影响因素方面，从土地利用、交通方式结构、交通拥堵、新技术的运用及交通政策等方面分析影响交通碳排放的因素；针对低碳交通发展模式，从城市化的发展进程、机动化发展的水平等方面分析影响低碳交通模式的选择的因素，总结出低碳交通类型：传统模式、相对低碳模式与绝对低碳模式，并分析各模式的区别和联系，构建低碳交通模式选择的方法；对于低碳交通的发展对策研究方面，提出优化居民出行结构、加快新能源新技术的应用、提供城市交通管理水平等措施。以深圳市为实例，首先了解深圳交通行业碳排放现状；运用情景分析法对深圳市城市交通的基准、低碳、强化低碳情景进行特征年碳排放预测，研究深圳交通碳减排的潜力，明确未来城市交通的低碳发展模式；同时制定建设低碳交通的对策及保障机制。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up three decades ago, China's economy has grown rapidly, and the demand for transportation has been rising. In 2010, the energy consumption of China's transportation industry accounted for about 9% of the total energy consumption of the whole society. The State Council has made the transportation industry one of the key industries in energy conservation and emission reduction, and has explicitly called for speeding up the construction of a transport system characterized by low carbon emissions. At the same time, The State Council has included urban carbon emissions as a binding indicator in the assessment of local governments. Urban transport is the second largest consumer of carbon emissions after industry, and the pressure on carbon emissions is enormous. Therefore, the development of low-carbon transport has become an inevitable choice for each city. In this context, this paper studies the development model and countermeasures of low-carbon transport, in order to provide a reference for the development of urban low-carbon transport. In this paper, the connotation and influencing factors of low-carbon transportation, the development mode of low-carbon transportation and its development countermeasures are studied. In terms of the connotation and influencing factors of low-carbon transportation, the paper discusses the structure of land use and transportation mode. Traffic congestion, the use of new technologies and transport policies, etc., analyze the factors that affect the carbon emissions of traffic. In the light of low-carbon transport development model, from the development process of urbanization, Based on the analysis of the factors influencing the choice of low-carbon transport modes in terms of the level of motorized development, this paper summarizes the types of low-carbon transport: traditional mode, relatively low carbon model and absolute low carbon mode, and analyzes the differences and connections of each model. In the aspect of the research on the development countermeasures of low-carbon transportation, the paper puts forward some measures, such as optimizing the travel structure of residents, speeding up the application of new energy and new technologies, and providing the level of urban traffic management. Taking Shenzhen as an example, first of all, to understand the current situation of carbon emission in Shenzhen transport industry; to use scenario analysis method to predict the characteristic annual carbon emissions of the benchmark, low-carbon and enhanced low-carbon scenarios of Shenzhen city traffic; and to study the potential of carbon emission reduction in Shenzhen traffic. The future low-carbon development model of urban transportation is defined, and the countermeasures and guarantee mechanism for the construction of low-carbon transportation are formulated.
【学位授予单位】：长沙理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F512;F205

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