基于供需均衡的西南航空客运运力规划

发布时间：2018-03-05 04:29

本文选题：区域航空　切入点：运力供给　出处：《中国民用航空飞行学院》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：区域航空市场作为中国运输航空市场的重要组成部分，在服务于区域航空旅客和带动区域经济发展方面发挥着不可替代的作用。目前我国区域航空运输市场出现的主要矛盾是不断增长的区域航空客运需求和区域航空客运运力供给之间不匹配。因此如何科学地进行区域航空运力资源的优化分配，，提高区域航空运力的使用效率，成为了我国航空运输业面临的严峻问题。区域航空客运运力的供需均衡是指区域航空客运运力的需求量与供给量达到平衡的状态。本文将供需均衡理论引入区域航空（西南航空市场）客运运力规划中，旨在满足区域航空客运需求和实现区域航空客运运力的市场供需平衡。首先，本文对西南地区航空客运的运力供给现状进行了调查，并着重讨论了西南地区航空客运运力供给的影响因素及存在的问题。其次，在分析西南航空客运运力需求影响因素的基础上，采用多元线性回归法对西南地区航空客运的运力需求进行了预测。再次，采用矩阵元素匹配法对西南地区航空客运市场的供需均衡性进行评价，得出西南航空市场客运运力供需均衡性的实际现状。最后，在分析西南航空运输市场的发展趋势此基础上，确定了未来航空运力规划的指导原则，对未来年的西南地区航空客运运力的运力规模、运力的布局和运力结构进行了规划。
[Abstract]:As an important part of China's transport aviation market, the regional aviation market, It plays an irreplaceable role in serving regional air passengers and promoting regional economic development. At present, the main contradiction in China's regional air transport market is the increasing demand for regional air passenger transport and regional aviation. Therefore, how to optimize the allocation of regional aviation capacity resources scientifically, Improving the efficiency of regional air transport capacity has become a severe problem in China's air transport industry. The equilibrium of supply and demand of regional air passenger transport capacity refers to the balance between the demand and supply of regional air passenger transport capacity. In this paper, the theory of supply and demand equilibrium is introduced into regional aviation (southwest aviation market) passenger transport capacity planning. The purpose of this paper is to meet the demand of regional air passenger transport and to achieve the balance of market supply and demand of regional air passenger transport capacity. Firstly, this paper investigates the present situation of air passenger transport capacity supply in southwest China, and discusses the influencing factors and existing problems of air passenger transport capacity supply in southwest China. Secondly, based on the analysis of the factors affecting the capacity demand of southwest air passenger transport, the multivariate linear regression method is used to predict the capacity demand of air passenger transport in southwest China. Thirdly, the matrix element matching method is used to evaluate the supply and demand equilibrium of the air passenger transport market in Southwest China, and the actual situation of the supply and demand equilibrium of passenger transport capacity in the southwest aviation market is obtained. Finally, on the basis of analyzing the development trend of southwest air transportation market, the guiding principles of future aviation capacity planning are determined, and the capacity scale of air passenger transport capacity in southwest China in the coming years is determined. The layout and structure of transportation capacity are planned.
【学位授予单位】：中国民用航空飞行学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F562.6

【参考文献】