深圳市城市客运交通低碳发展模式与评价研究

发布时间：2018-03-07 19:44

本文选题：城市客运交通　切入点：低碳发展　出处：《重庆交通大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：深圳特区成立30年以来，社会经济稳步高速发展，交通运输需求不断上升，交通发展与能源紧缺、环境污染的矛盾日益突出。城市交通产生的能源消耗量和温室气体的排放量逐年上升，深圳市面临着能源短缺和生存环境日益恶化的双重危机。在低碳经济发展的大背景下，作为能源消耗和碳排放大户的交通运输行业，亟需向低碳化发展转型。但是，目前城市交通缺乏明确的低碳发展模式和完善的评价指标体系，在此背景下，，本文对此展开深入研究。文章深入研究了低碳交通的内涵，系统总结了国际大城市发展低碳交通的经验，提出三种低碳交通发展模式：相对减碳模式、逐步推进减碳模式、绝对减碳模式。在分析深圳市客运交通现状、发展瓶颈及发展形势的基础上，将三种发展模式设定为三种低碳情景，构建城市客运交通能耗和碳排放预测模型，测算了深圳市相对低碳情景、逐步推进情景、绝对低碳情景下的深圳市2015年、2020年的客运交通系统减碳潜力，并结合各种模式的实施难度和成本，选取了适合深圳市的低碳客运交通发展模式。本文在明确城市客运交通低碳发展评价的目的、意义和流程的基础上，从社会经济、交通功能、环境、能耗、科技维度构建评价指标体系，提出了基于熵权云物元的城市客运交通低碳发展综合评价模型。对深圳市低碳客运交通系统进行实例分析，最后在对评价结果分析的基础上，对深圳市客运交通低碳发展提出相应的改善对策，最终验证了评价指标体系的合理性以及综合评价模型的有效性。
[Abstract]:Since the establishment of the Shenzhen Special Administrative Region for 30 years, steady and rapid development of socio-economic, transportation demand rising, traffic development and energy shortage and environmental pollution have become increasingly prominent contradictions. The amount of greenhouse gas emissions and consumption of city traffic generated energy increased year by year, Shenzhen city is facing the dual crisis of energy shortage and environment worsening. The development of low-carbon economy, as energy consumption and carbon emissions of transportation industry, need to transition to low-carbon development. However, the lack of clear city traffic low carbon development mode and improve the evaluation index system, under this background, this paper makes a thorough study.
This paper studies the connotation of low-carbon transport system, summarizes the international big city to develop low-carbon transportation experience, put forward three kinds of low carbon transport development model: the relative carbon reduction mode, and gradually promote carbon reduction mode, the absolute carbon reduction mode. In the analysis of the present situation of passenger traffic in Shenzhen City, the basic development bottlenecks and development situation on the three development mode is set to three low carbon scenario, construction of city passenger transport energy consumption and carbon emissions prediction model of Shenzhen city is calculated with relatively low carbon scenario, gradually promote the scene, the absolute low carbon scenario of Shenzhen city in 2015, the carbon reduction potential of passenger transport system in 2020, and combined with various modes of implementation the difficulty and cost, choose low carbon passenger transport development model for Shenzhen city.
The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the passenger traffic low carbon development clear city, basic meaning and process, from social economy, traffic function, environment, energy, construction of evaluation index system of science and technology dimension, is proposed based on entropy cloud matter element city passenger traffic low carbon development comprehensive evaluation model to analysis the low carbon. The passenger transportation system of Shenzhen City, finally on the basis of analyzing the result, put forward the corresponding improvement countermeasures on the development of low carbon transportation in Shenzhen City, and ultimately proved the rationality of the index system and comprehensive evaluation model is effective.

【学位授予单位】：重庆交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F572.88;F205;F224

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