交通运输业能源消耗与经济增长关系及影响因素

发布时间：2018-03-08 16:48

本文选题：综合交通运输　切入点：脱钩关系　出处：《交通运输系统工程与信息》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：为协调交通运输业能源消耗与经济增长之间的矛盾,实现行业发展对能源消耗的依赖性逐步减弱,采用脱钩模型对两者之间脱钩关系进行定量分析.同时,引入CobbDouglas生产函数对传统LMDI模型进行改进,考虑综合运输结构的影响,进而对影响脱钩关系的主要因素进行分析.以河北省为案例进行实证研究发现,大多数年份均呈现弱脱钩状态,但近几年脱钩关系有反弹趋势.交通运输业固定资产投资、综合运输结构是阻碍脱钩的主要因素,其中,公路运输在综合运输结构对脱钩关系的阻碍方面作用最大;而技术进步是促进脱钩的主要因素,其中,公路运输、铁路运输对脱钩关系起主要促进作用.
[Abstract]:As the contradiction between transportation energy consumption and economic growth, to achieve the development of the industry depends on the energy consumption gradually weakened, the decoupling model to quantitatively analyze the relationship between decoupling between the two. At the same time, the introduction of the CobbDouglas production function of the traditional LMDI model improvement, considering the influence of the structure of comprehensive transportation, main factors and decoupling the relationship of influence analysis. Taking Hebei Province as a case of empirical research found that most of the year showed a weak decoupling state, but in recent years the relationship between decoupling rebound trend. The fixed assets investment in transportation, comprehensive transportation structure is the main factor that hinders the decoupling among them, the biggest obstacle to the role of the decoupling relationship between highway transportation in the structure of comprehensive transportation; and technological progress is the main factor, promote the decoupling of the highway transportation, railway transportation plays a major role on the decoupling relationship Use.

【作者单位】：长安大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目霍英东教育基金项目交通运输部软科学研究项目~~
【分类号】：F124;F512;U111

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