港口物流与城市经济发展关系研究

发布时间：2018-03-25 03:02

本文选题：港口物流　切入点：城市经济　出处：《北京交通大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：经济日益全球化的今天,生产资料和各种产品在全球范围内自由流动,这种流动的一个重要节点便是港口、。港口在为进出港货物提供装卸、转运、流通加工、金融、保险等服务的过程中,为临港产业的发展奠定了基础,并为港口城市的经济发展做出了巨大的贡献。与此同时,港口城市的经济腾飞和长足发展对港口物流提出了更高的要求,并为港口物流基础设施建设提供了人力、资金、技术等各种资源支持。本文的目的就是探究港口物流和城市经济发展之间的关联关系。为了研究这种关联关系,本文分别采用了定性和定量的方法对命题加以研究。定性研究方面,本文阐释了港口的代别,港口物流的内涵和发展历程,论述了港口物流对城市经济发展的推动作用,城市经济发展对港口物流的促进作用和港城互动协调发展的原理。定量研究方面,本文以上海港为例,首先运用灰色关联模型计算出了港口物流发展的衡量指标和城市经济发展表征指标之间的灰色关联度,测算发现作为港口物流指标的货物吞吐量与城市经济发展指标GDP之间的关联度为0.95；集装箱吞吐量与外贸进出口总额之间的灰色关联度为0.86。由此得出港口物流与城市经济发展的关联非常密切的结论。接着运用协整模型分析了港口物流和城市经济发展的长期协整关系。结果表明：表征港口物流指标的港口货物吞吐量与城市经济发展指标的GDP、外贸进出口总额之间存在长期的均衡关系。最后利用格兰杰因果关系模型检验了港口物流和城市经济发展的因果关系,研究发现：上海港港口货物吞吐量与上海市GDP之间存在着单向格兰杰因果关系,即港口货物吞吐量是上海市GDP的单向格兰杰原因；上海港港口货物吞吐量与外贸进出口总额之间存在着双向格兰杰因果关系,即港口货物吞吐量是外贸进出口总额的格兰杰原因,同时外贸进出口总额也是港口货物吞吐量的格兰杰原因。
[Abstract]:Today, with the increasing globalization of the economy, the means of production and various products are freely flowing around the world. One of the important nodes of this flow is the port. The port is providing loading and unloading, trans-shipment, circulation, processing, finance for cargo entering and leaving the port. In the process of insurance and other services, it has laid the foundation for the development of port industry and made great contribution to the economic development of port city. At the same time, the rapid development of port economy and rapid development of port city have put forward higher requirements for port logistics. The purpose of this paper is to explore the relationship between port logistics and urban economic development. In order to study this relationship, this paper uses qualitative and quantitative methods to study propositions. In qualitative research, this paper explains the connotation and development course of port logistics. This paper discusses the promotion function of port logistics to the development of city economy, the promotion function of city economy development to port logistics and the principle of port city interaction and coordination development. In quantitative research, this paper takes Shanghai Port as an example, first of all, using the grey relational model to calculate the grey correlation degree between the measurement index of port logistics development and the indicator of urban economic development. It is found that the correlation degree between cargo throughput as a port logistics index and urban economic development index (GDP) is 0.95.The grey correlation degree between container throughput and total import and export volume of foreign trade is 0.86. from this, the port logistics and city are obtained. City economic development is very closely linked to the conclusion. Then the cointegration model is used to analyze the long-term cointegration relationship between port logistics and urban economic development. The results show that the port cargo throughput, GDPand total import and export of foreign trade, which represent the port logistics index and the urban economic development index, are represented by the port logistics index. There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between them. Finally, the Granger causality model is used to test the causality between port logistics and urban economic development. It is found that there is a one-way Granger causality between Shanghai Port cargo throughput and Shanghai GDP. That is, port cargo throughput is the one-way Granger cause of GDP in Shanghai, and there is a two-way Granger causality between port cargo throughput and total import and export of Shanghai Port. That is, port cargo throughput is the Granger cause of total import and export of foreign trade, and the gross volume of foreign trade import and export is also the Granger reason of port cargo throughput.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F252;F552;F299.27;F224

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