高铁时代广深双城及其与腹地城市联动关系识别的证据

发布时间：2018-03-31 21:10

本文选题：高铁发展　切入点：广深双城　出处：《重庆大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年02期

【摘要】：得益于两个大局战略推进,地处东部沿海开放前沿地带的广州、深圳双城获得了先发之机。历时30余年,广深两大中心城市地位已经确立,并且在发展中不断得以巩固。不同的是,广州地位之确立是历史的再现,深圳市则是改革与开放政策催生的新兴城市。通过借鉴经典引力模型,结合广深城市体系发展实践,确立珠三角地区的中心城市,甄别联动关系。测算结果发现,虽采取不同算法,城市关系及位序法则却保持着一致性。给定中心城市,也就能够识别腹地城市数和区域范围。实证检验发现:高铁确实产生了珠三角城市间的联动效应,并使广深的辐射能力正在逐步增强,而且强化了普通铁路和高速公路所能够产生的增长驱动力。换言之,广深双城对腹地城市的辐射效应要远大于虹吸效应,整体联动和抱团发展的局面已经打开。当使用铁路列车班次并赋予权重计算的城市联系指数进行再检验,该实证结果仍然稳健。政策含义:充分发挥快速铁路的联动能力,划定中心城市辐射范围,在集聚中走向平衡,重新理清政府和市场的作用与反作用关系。
[Abstract]:Thanks to the two overall strategy promotion, located in the eastern coastal frontier zone of Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Shuangcheng won the first machine. After 30 years, Guangzhou Shenzhen two city center position has been established, and continue to consolidate in the development. The difference is, the establishment of the status of Guangzhou is the representation of history, Shenzhen city it is a new city of reform and opening up policy has. By comparing with the classical gravity model, combining with the development practice of Guangzhou Shenzhen city system, city center established in the Pearl River Delta region, identify the linkage relationships. Calculation results showed that although the different city relationship and order algorithm, rules can maintain consistency. Given the center of the city, also to identify the number and area of hinterland city. We found that high iron did produce linkage effect between the city and the Pearl River Delta, the radiation ability of Guangzhou Shenzhen is gradually enhanced, and strengthen the ordinary railway And can produce the growth of highway driving force. In other words, the radiation effect of Shuangcheng city of Guangzhou Shenzhen hinterland is much larger than the siphon effect, the overall linkage and pushing the development of the situation has been opened. When using the railway trains and give weight to calculate the index of city contact test, the empirical results are robust policy implications. Give full play to the capability of rapid railway linkage: radiation, delineation of the scope of the center of the city, in concentration to balance, to clarify the role of government and the market reaction.

【作者单位】：山东师范大学商学院;济南大学商学院;
【分类号】：F532.8

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