海岛型地区高速铁路对原有客运格局影响研究

发布时间：2018-04-12 17:43

本文选题：高速铁路 + 演进机理　；参考：《北京交通大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：高速铁路作为一种新型交通方式,其开通运营,将对原有的客运交通格局带来重大影响。一方面,高速铁路融入原有交通格局,能够增强整个交通系统的运输供给能力,可以大大缓解长期以来我国运能紧张的局面,能为旅客提供高质量的运输服务。另一方面,高速铁路对原有的公路、民航等客运方式带来了竞争压力,在一定范围内,高铁将与原有客运交通方式争夺市场,有利于各种运输资源的优化配置和综合交通运输系统的形成和完善。为了更清晰的验证高速铁路进入某一区域对原有客运交通格局的影响,本文将研究的主要范围限定在海岛型地区。通过对基于运输需求与技术支撑双因素的交通运输方式演进机理的分析,构建了高速铁路对原有客运交通格局影响的优化模型,并通过日本东海道新干线、中国台湾高速铁路、中国海南高速铁路的案例分析,对该模型进行了验证。本文认为,高速铁路的开通,对不同运输市场有不同的影响。(1)高铁进入未饱和的运输市场,将与各种交通方式协同发展,提升整个交通系统的供给能力,如果仍不能满足运输需求,在技术条件具备时,将有新型交通方式继续进入。(2)高铁进入饱和的运输市场,将加剧市场竞争,各种交通方式通过寻找优势市场范围,实现协同发展；或者,导致某些交通方式退出市场。但是应该看到,无论高速铁路的进入,是加强了与原有交通方式的协作,还是加剧了彼此之间的竞争,都有益于交通格局的优化。本文认为对于高速铁路的进入,原有的客运交通方式应正确看待彼此的优势和劣势,在市场重叠的领域,应通过提升服务质量、降低成本等方式吸引旅客,避免导致运输资源浪费的恶性竞争；对于各自具有优势的市场领域,应加强各种交通方式的衔接与合作,发挥综合运输体系的整体效应。
[Abstract]:As a new type of traffic mode, the opening and operation of high-speed railway will have a great impact on the original passenger traffic pattern.On the one hand, the integration of high-speed railway into the original traffic pattern can enhance the transport supply capacity of the entire transportation system, can greatly alleviate the long term shortage of transport capacity in China, and can provide high-quality transport services for passengers.On the other hand, high-speed railways have brought competitive pressure to the existing modes of passenger transport, such as highways and civil aviation. Within a certain range, high-speed rail will compete with the original modes of passenger transport to compete for the market.It is conducive to the optimal allocation of various transportation resources and the formation and improvement of the integrated transportation system.In order to more clearly verify the impact of high-speed railway entering a certain area on the original passenger traffic pattern, the main scope of this study is confined to the island area.Based on the analysis of the evolution mechanism of transportation mode based on the dual factors of transportation demand and technical support, this paper constructs an optimized model of the influence of high-speed railway on the original passenger traffic pattern, and through Japan's Dongkaido Shinkansen Railway, the high-speed railway of Taiwan, China.The model is verified by a case study of Hainan High Speed Railway in China.This paper holds that the opening of high-speed railway will have different effects on different transport markets. (1) High speed rail entering the unsaturated transport market will develop in coordination with various modes of transportation and enhance the supply capacity of the entire transportation system.If the transport demand is still not met, when the technical conditions are available, there will be a new type of transportation mode that will continue to enter the saturated transport market.) High-speed rail will enter the saturated transport market, which will intensify market competition.Achieve coordinated development; or, cause some modes of transportation to withdraw from the market.However, it should be seen that the entry of high-speed railway, whether it strengthens the cooperation with the original mode of transportation or intensifies the competition between each other, is beneficial to the optimization of the traffic pattern.This paper holds that the original mode of passenger transport should correctly look at each other's advantages and disadvantages for the entry of high-speed railway. In the areas where the market overlaps, we should attract passengers by improving the quality of service and reducing costs, and so on.In order to avoid the vicious competition which leads to the waste of transportation resources, we should strengthen the connection and cooperation of various modes of transportation in the market areas where they have their own advantages, so as to give play to the overall effect of the integrated transportation system.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F532;F542

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