中国海运服务贸易与货物贸易的相关性研究

发布时间：2018-04-18 23:00

本文选题：海运服务贸易 + 货物贸易　；参考：《大连海事大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：2001年12月11日,中国正式成为WTO第143个成员。加入WTO以来,便利的贸易条件为我国对外贸易提供了良好的发展环境,我国对外贸易发展迅速,到2011年,货物贸易和服务贸易规模均增长6倍以上,年均增速超过了20%。我国对外贸易结构极不协调,服务贸易的发展远远滞后于货物贸易发展,中国是世界货物贸易大国,货物贸易在我国对外贸易结构中一直处于主导地位。我国一方面维持着巨额货物贸易顺差,同时伴随着同样巨大巨额的服务贸易逆差,不合理的贸易结构严重制约了中国对外贸易健康、持续发展。运输、旅游等传统服务贸易仍是我国服务贸易的主体,运输服务贸易额占我国服务贸易额的比重常年维持在25%以上,运输服务贸易逆差额占整个服务贸易逆差额的一半以上。海运服务是运输服务中最重要的一种方式,其份额占整个运输服务贸易的70%以上。在全球化背景下,国与国、大陆与大陆之间最便宜的运输就是海运,靠飞机、火车解决不了全球运输。随着入世承诺的履行,我国运输服务贸易对外开放程度逐渐加深,中国海运企业被推上了世界舞台,在更公平的环境下与世界各国海运公司展开竞争。海运服务贸易作为国际贸易往来的纽带与桥梁,在国际贸易中发挥着重要作用。因此,我国应利用货物贸易竞争优势,促进海运服务贸易与货物贸易协同发展,提升我国对外贸易整体竞争力。本文通过对文献资料的搜集整理,阐述了中国海运服务贸易面临的外部环境,对比分析了中国入世以来海运服务贸易与货物贸易的发展状况,认为海运服务贸易和货物贸易在发展过程中存在相关性。本文应用Eviews5.0统计软件,建立VAR模型,分析海运服务贸易与货物贸易总量的长期均衡关系。通过分析模型结果,发现货物贸易的发展对海运服务业有明显的促进作用,反过来,海运服务贸易的发展又能给货物贸易内部结构升级提供强力支撑,降低货物贸易运输成本,增加货物贸易竞争优势。在维持我国货物贸易竞争优势的前提下,应加强海运企业合作,增加海运服务贸易竞争力,促进海运服务贸易与货物贸易协同发展,同时积极参与国际贸易规则制定,增加我国政府在国际贸易中的话语权,以更主动的姿态参与国际贸易活动。
[Abstract]:On December 11, 2001, China officially became the 143rd member of WTO.Since China's entry into WTO, the convenient terms of trade have provided a good development environment for China's foreign trade. China's foreign trade has developed rapidly. By 2011, the scale of trade in goods and services has increased by more than 6 times, and the average annual growth rate has exceeded 20%.China's foreign trade structure is extremely uncoordinated, and the development of service trade lags far behind the development of goods trade. China is a big country in the world trade in goods, and goods trade has always been in the leading position in the foreign trade structure of our country.On the one hand, China maintains a huge trade surplus in goods, and at the same time, with the same huge trade deficit in services, the unreasonable trade structure seriously restricts the healthy and sustainable development of China's foreign trade.Traditional service trade, such as transportation and tourism, is still the main body of service trade in China. The proportion of trade volume of transport services to the trade volume of services in our country is kept above 25% all the year round, and the reverse balance of trade in transport services accounts for more than half of the total reverse balance of trade in services.Shipping service is the most important way of transport service, its share accounts for more than 70% of the total trade in transport services.In the context of globalization, the cheapest transport between countries and between the mainland and the mainland is sea transport, which cannot be solved by air or train.With the implementation of China's WTO commitments, the degree of opening up to the outside world of China's transport service trade has gradually deepened, and Chinese shipping enterprises have been pushed onto the world stage to compete with the shipping companies of other countries in a fairer environment.As the link and bridge of international trade, maritime service trade plays an important role in international trade.Therefore, China should take advantage of the competitive advantage of goods trade, promote the coordinated development of maritime trade in services and goods trade, and promote the overall competitiveness of China's foreign trade.Based on the collection and arrangement of literature, this paper expounds the external environment that China's maritime transport service trade is facing, and compares and analyzes the development of China's seaborne service trade and goods trade since China's entry into WTO.It is considered that there is a correlation between trade in marine services and trade in goods in the course of development.In this paper, Eviews5.0 statistical software is used to establish VAR model to analyze the long term equilibrium relationship between maritime trade in services and total volume of trade in goods.Through the analysis of the results of the model, it is found that the development of the goods trade has an obvious promoting effect on the marine services industry. In turn, the development of the maritime trade in services can provide strong support for the upgrading of the internal structure of the trade in goods and reduce the transport costs of the trade in goods.Increase the competitive advantage of goods trade.On the premise of maintaining the competitive advantage of China's goods trade, we should strengthen the cooperation of maritime transport enterprises, increase the competitiveness of maritime trade in services, promote the coordinated development of maritime trade in services and trade in goods, and take an active part in the formulation of international trade rules.Increase our government's voice in international trade and participate in international trade more actively.
【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752.6;F552;F224

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