我国高速铁路速度目标值选择与市场份额关系的研究

发布时间：2018-04-28 03:50

本文选题：速度目标值 + logit模型　；参考：《中国铁道科学研究院》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：在我国高速铁路大发展的背景下,关于高速铁路的相关研究越来越受到学术界的重视。高速铁路的速度目标值一直是高速铁路相关研究的核心问题,如何更加科学的选择高速铁路的速度目标值成为了学界讨论的热点话题。本文从高速铁路的市场份额角度出发,研究高速铁路不同速度目标值对于其旅客分担率的影响,并通过其市场份额的变化为高铁速度目标值的综合确定提供一些参考。论文的主要内容如下： (1)介绍了我国高速铁路目前发展状况,探讨我国高速铁路速度目标值的选择方法,列举了影响高速铁路速度目标值确定的相关因素,并逐一进行讨论。 (2)对影响客运交通方式市场份额的因素进行了全面的概述和分析。首先对各客运交通方式的特点及其发展状况进行了综述,叙述了我国客运交通方式的速度发展概况,分析了客运交通方式市场份额变化的机理,概述了影响交通方式客运市场份额的各种因素。 (3)运用非集计方法logit模型分析速度目标值对于高速铁路市场份额的影响,并列举北京至上海和西安至郑州的客流案例进行分析讨论。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of high-speed railway in China, more and more attention has been paid to the research of high-speed railway. The speed target value of high speed railway has been the core problem in the research of high speed railway. How to choose the speed target value of high speed railway more scientifically has become a hot topic in academic circles. From the point of view of the market share of high-speed railway, this paper studies the influence of target value of different speed on the passenger share rate of high-speed railway, and provides some references for the comprehensive determination of speed target value of high-speed railway through the change of market share. The main contents of the thesis are as follows: This paper introduces the current development of high-speed railway in China, discusses the method of choosing the speed target value of high-speed railway in China, lists the relevant factors that affect the determination of speed target value of high-speed railway, and discusses it one by one. The factors affecting the market share of passenger transportation mode are summarized and analyzed. First of all, the characteristics and development status of various modes of passenger transport are summarized, the general situation of the speed development of the modes of passenger transport in China is described, and the mechanism of the change of the market share of the modes of passenger transport is analyzed. Various factors affecting the market share of passenger transportation mode are summarized. (3) logit model is used to analyze the influence of speed target value on the market share of high-speed railway, and the passenger flow cases from Beijing to Shanghai and Xi'an to Zhengzhou are analyzed and discussed.
【学位授予单位】：中国铁道科学研究院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F532;U238

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