中国铁路行业产出变化的驱动因素——基于2005—2012年面板数据的实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-03 00:29

本文选题：技术进步 + 政府投资　；参考：《技术经济》2014年09期

【摘要】：基于"索洛余值"法建立扩展型索洛模型,利用灰色关联分析方法计算模型的弹性系数,利用2005—2012年中国铁路行业的面板数据,计算了技术进步、政府投资、非政府投资和劳动力投入等对铁路行业产出增长的贡献率,并分析了中国《中长期铁路网规划》颁布实施以来铁路行业产出变化的驱动因素。得出结论:近年来中国铁路行业的巨大成就与技术进步和政府投资密不可分,政府的大规模投资和支持已帮助中国铁路企业步入以技术进步和创新为主导的内生驱动式发展阶段,技术进步已成为影响中国铁路行业产出增长的最重要因素。
[Abstract]:Based on the "Solow residual value" method, the extended Solow model is established, and the elastic coefficient of the model is calculated by the grey correlation analysis method. The contribution rate of the technological progress, government investment, non-governmental investment and labor input to the output growth of the iron road industry is calculated by using the panel data of the Chinese railway industry from 2005 to 2012. The driving factors of railway industry output change since promulgation and implementation have been concluded. It is concluded that the great achievements of the Chinese railway industry in recent years are closely related to technological progress and government investment. The large-scale investment and support of the government has helped the Chinese railway enterprises to enter the endogenous driven development dominated by technological progress and innovation. At the same time, technological progress has become the most important factor affecting the output growth of China's railway industry.

【作者单位】：北京邮电大学公共管理学院;中国人民大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“贯彻落实科学发展观深化垄断行业改革——大型国有垄断企业的治理结构和政府规制结构研究”(07&ZD015) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“基于网络范式的产业科技创新与政府投资的研究”(2014RC0801)
【分类号】：F532

【共引文献】