西北地区高速铁路建设对其交通运输市场的影响及评价研究

发布时间：2018-05-09 11:44

本文选题：西北地区 + 高速铁路　；参考：《兰州交通大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来,随着我国经济的快速发展和人民生活水平的不断提高,我国的基础设施建设进入了前所未有的高潮时代。在2004年1月国务院批准实施《中长期铁路网规划》之后,我国的铁路建设获得了跨越式发展。在西北地区铁路建设迎来这一前所未有发展契机的同时,高速铁路运输也逐渐融入西北地区交通运输市场。高速铁路融入西北地区交通运输市场将会改变区域交通运输网络的结构,在大大缓解既有铁路旅客运输市场运输压力的同时,将会有力地促进区域货物运输市场运输能力的提升；届时,阻碍西北地区经济发展的“以运定产”之运输难题也将会迎刃而解。系统、科学地研究西北地区高速铁路建设对其区域交通运输市场的影响是当前交通运输规划领域所面临的重要问题。本文以西北地区高速铁路建设为背景,在广泛参阅本领域前人研究成果的基础上,结合西北地区的资源状况、区域交通运输市场的运输需求和区域交通运输市场的运输供给能力状况,采用运输经济学、市场营销学结合运筹学的相关知识建立一套相对完整的理论框架和计算模型,就西北地区高速铁路建设对其交通运输市场的影响进行定性研究和定量分析。旨在总结经验、发现规律,为相关部门提供决策参考。本文基于“高速铁路对区域经济影响的动力学特征研究”[国家社会科学基金资助项目(2011年度)应用经济,基金号：11CJY067],其主要研究内容如下：首先,在考察西北地区的自然资源状况和区域交通运输市场状况的基础上,分析了制约西北地区经济发展的因素；在分析区域旅客运输市场运输需求的同时,构建了旅客运输需求效用函数,为后续相关内容的研究奠定了理论基础。其次,采用多维LOGIT模型,以目前西北地区唯一一条投入运营的郑西高速铁路为例,就高速铁路融入西北地区交通运输市场后对旅客运输市场客流分担率进行定量研究；之后,继续研究西北地区高速铁路建设对其旅客运输市场诱发客运需求量的影响、对其区域货物运输市场运输能力的影响和对其区域货物运输市场运输量分配的影响。最后,采用层次分析法与模糊综合评价法相结合的方法对高速铁路已融入西北地区交通运输市场这一客观事实进行科学评价,证明了高速铁路运输在西北地区交通运输市场中的优势地位。通过本文西北地区高速铁路建设对其交通运输市场的影响及评价研究,将会为其他地区修建高速铁路提供重要的理论参考,在总结其经验的基础上去发掘规律,以有效地指导实践。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of our economy and the continuous improvement of people's living standards, the construction of infrastructure in China has entered an unprecedented climax. After the State Council approved the implementation of the medium and long term Railway Network Plan in January 2004, the railway construction in China has been developed by leaps and bounds. At the same time, the high-speed railway transportation is gradually integrated into the transportation market in Northwest China. The integration of high-speed railway into the transportation market in the Northwest region will change the structure of the regional transportation network, and at the same time greatly relieve the pressure on the existing railway passenger transport market. It will be able to promote the transportation capacity of the regional freight transport market, and the transportation problem of "transportation and production", which hinders the economic development of the northwest region, will also be solved. It is an important problem in the field of transportation planning to study scientifically the influence of high-speed railway construction in Northwest China on the regional transportation market. Based on the background of the high-speed railway construction in Northwest China, and on the basis of extensive reference to the previous research results in this field, this paper combines the resource situation in the Northwest region. The transport demand of the regional transportation market and the transport supply capacity of the regional transportation market are analyzed. A set of relatively complete theoretical framework and calculation model are established by means of transport economics, marketing and related knowledge of operational research. Qualitative and quantitative analysis on the influence of high-speed railway construction on transportation market in Northwest China is carried out. The purpose is to sum up the experience, find out the rule, and provide the decision-making reference for the relevant department. This paper is based on the "study on the dynamic characteristics of the impact of High Speed Railway on Regional economy" [National Social Science Fund-funded Project 2011) Applied economy, Fund No.: 11CJY067]. The main research contents are as follows: First of all, on the basis of investigating the natural resources situation and the regional transportation market situation in the Northwest region, the paper analyzes the factors restricting the economic development of the Northwest region, and analyzes the transport demand of the regional passenger transport market at the same time. The utility function of passenger transport demand is constructed, which lays a theoretical foundation for further research. Secondly, by using multi-dimensional LOGIT model, taking the only Zhengxi high-speed railway in Northwest China as an example, the paper makes a quantitative study on the passenger flow sharing rate of the passenger transport market after the high-speed railway is integrated into the transportation market in Northwest China. This paper continues to study the influence of high-speed railway construction in Northwest China on the passenger transport demand induced by the passenger transport market, on the transport capacity of the regional freight transport market and on the distribution of the regional freight transport market volume. Finally, the paper uses the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to evaluate the objective fact that the high-speed railway has been integrated into the transportation market in Northwest China. It is proved that the high-speed railway transportation plays an important role in the transportation market of Northwest China. Through the research on the influence and evaluation of the high-speed railway construction on the transportation market in Northwest China, it will provide important theoretical reference for the construction of high-speed railway in other regions and explore the rules on the basis of summing up its experience. To guide the practice effectively.
【学位授予单位】：兰州交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F532;F224

【参考文献】