大型汽车总站运营风险评价研究

发布时间：2018-05-13 02:01

本文选题：大型汽车总站 + 运营风险　；参考：《长沙理工大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国经济的快速发展，交通需求日益扩大，机动车数量迅速增加，城市的交通质量面临着一个巨大的挑战。在各大中城市，由于人口密集度较大而道路资源又十分有限，要很好的解决人们的出行问题，大力发展大型汽车总站这一交通枢纽基础设施尤为重要。而大型汽车总站运营的经济效益、运营秩序、乘客满意度等常常都不到保障，这都形成大型汽车总站运营风险，所以对大型汽车总站运营风险问题的研究已十分迫切。在国内外关于交通运输枢纽、运营管理和运营风险管理的研究基础上，本文通过对风险定义与风险本质的理解，总结了大型汽车总站运营风险定义与特征。本文从减小大型汽车总站运营风险的角度出发，详细剖析了影响大型汽车总站运营风险的风险因素，在运营风险认识理论基础上，对大型汽车总站运营风险指标进行了确定，并建立了交通组织管理、运营管理制度等13项指标的大型汽车总站运营风险评价指标体系。本文通过对各种风险评价方法的阐述与理解，确定了大型汽车总站运营风险应选择的风险评价方法，即灰色综合评价法。应用层次分析法计算出各级指标的权重后，利用灰色综合评价方法构建了大型汽车总站运营风险评价模型，将模型运用到CSQCNZ、CSQCDZ、CSQCXZ运营风险评价实践中，验证了模型的科学性和合理性。最后根据CSQCNZ、CSQCDZ、CSQCXZ运营风险评价结果分析，提出了案例大型汽车总站运营风险控制措施。本文构建的大型汽车总站运营风险评价指标体系和模型是对大型汽车总站运营风险管理的有益尝试，同时丰富了交通枢纽运营风险评价理论的应用范畴，提出了大型汽车总站运营风险控制措施，试图对大型汽车总站运营风险管理有一定借鉴作用。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's economy, the traffic demand is expanding day by day, and the number of motor vehicles is increasing rapidly. The urban traffic quality is facing a huge challenge. In large and medium cities, because of the large population density and the limited road resources, it is very important to develop the transportation hub infrastructure of large automobile terminal to solve the travel problem of people. However, the economic benefit, operation order, passenger satisfaction and so on of the large automobile terminal are often not guaranteed, which forms the operation risk of the large automobile terminal, so the study on the operation risk of the large automobile terminal is very urgent. On the basis of research on transportation hub, operation management and operational risk management, this paper summarizes the definition and characteristics of operational risk of large automobile terminal by understanding the definition and nature of risk. From the point of view of reducing the operational risk of large automobile terminal, this paper analyzes the risk factors that affect the operation risk of large automobile terminal in detail. Based on the theory of operational risk recognition, the operational risk index of large automobile terminal is determined. The evaluation index system of operation risk of large automobile terminal is established with 13 indexes, such as traffic organization and management, operation management system and so on. Based on the description and understanding of various risk assessment methods, this paper determines the risk evaluation method, I. E. the grey comprehensive evaluation method, which should be selected for the operation risk of the large automobile terminal. After calculating the weight of various indexes by AHP, the operation risk evaluation model of large automobile terminal is constructed by using the grey comprehensive evaluation method, and the model is applied to CSQCNZ CSQCDZN CSQCXZ operation risk evaluation practice. The model is verified to be scientific and reasonable. Finally, according to the analysis of CSQCNZG CSQCDZG CSQCXZ operation risk evaluation results, the paper puts forward the operation risk control measures of large automobile terminal station. The evaluation index system and model of the operation risk of large automobile terminal is a beneficial attempt to manage the operation risk of large automobile terminal, and it enriches the scope of application of the theory of operational risk assessment of transportation hub. The operation risk control measures of large automobile terminal are put forward in this paper, which can be used for reference in the operation risk management of large automobile terminal.
【学位授予单位】：长沙理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F540;U492

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