实证分析上海私车拍照拍卖制度对私车发展的影响

发布时间：2018-05-13 16:51

本文选题：上海 + 私家车发展状况　；参考：《复旦大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：进入21世纪,随着我国经济的发展和人民生活水平的提高,汽车开始逐步的进入家庭部门,对私人汽车的巨大需求为我国汽车工业的发展提供了强大的驱动力。但是私人汽车的发展也有弊端,过多的机动车辆给大型城市有限的道路容量施加了巨大的压力,超额的排放量给城市的空气环境也造成了极大的污染,最近北京市的雾霾天气引起了社会大众对于城市环境的重视。目前中国对私家车的管理方面只有北京和上海出台了具体的政策,其中北京市的政策着重于私家车的出行方面,对私家车数目的增长控制力度较小,而上海市从源头入手,对私车牌照进行限额发放,采取拍卖制度控制私家车数目的增长。虽然上海市近年来的采用的私家车牌照拍卖制度卓有成效,但车牌越来越高的价格也引发了上海地区购车者的不满,社会各界都开始对其合法性、合理性进行激烈的讨论。本文从整体入手,首先采用实证的方法研究影响整个中国地区(各省和直辖市)私家车发展的驱动因素。然后在分析上海市城市交通发展状况的情况时,研究公交车、轨道交通和出租车等交通工具与私家车的关系。最后重点研究私家车牌照制度对于上海地区私家车发展的影响,分别从私家车保有量的增长率、汽车的销售量和销售汽车的车型三个角度入手进行实证分析。最后,在前面分析结果的基础上,对于上海市的私车牌照拍卖制度的利弊进行了中肯的评价,并对未来上海市私家车管理的行政手段提出了一些建议。
[Abstract]:In the 21st century, with the development of Chinese economy and the improvement of people's living standard, the automobile starts to enter the household department step by step. The huge demand for the private automobile provides the powerful driving force for the development of the automobile industry of our country. However, the development of private cars also has its drawbacks. Too many motor vehicles exert great pressure on the limited road capacity of large cities, and excess emissions also cause great pollution to the air environment of cities. Recently, the haze weather in Beijing has aroused the public's attention to the urban environment. At present, only Beijing and Shanghai have issued specific policies on the management of private cars in China. Among them, the policies of Beijing Municipality focus on the travel of private cars, and control the growth of the number of private cars is relatively small, while Shanghai starts from the source. A quota on the issue of private car licences and an auction system to control the increase in the number of private cars. Although the private car license auction system adopted in Shanghai in recent years has been fruitful, the higher and higher price of the license plate has also aroused the dissatisfaction of the car buyers in Shanghai area, and people from all walks of life have started to have a heated discussion on its legitimacy and rationality. Starting with the whole, this paper first studies the driving factors that affect the development of private cars in the whole area of China (provinces and municipalities) by using the empirical method. Then, in the analysis of the development of urban traffic in Shanghai, the relationship between public transportation, rail transit and taxi and private cars is studied. Finally, the impact of private car license system on the development of private cars in Shanghai is studied, and the empirical analysis is carried out from three angles: the growth rate of private car ownership, the sales volume of cars and the types of cars sold. Finally, on the basis of the above analysis results, this paper makes a fair evaluation of the advantages and disadvantages of private car license auction system in Shanghai, and puts forward some suggestions on the administrative means of private car management in Shanghai in the future.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F572.88;F724.59

【参考文献】