城市轨道交通项目国民经济评价理论研究

发布时间：2018-06-02 05:41

本文选题：城市轨道交通 + 国民经济评价　；参考：《西南交通大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：城市轨道交通具有运量大、快速、安全舒适、节能环保等优点,发展城市轨道交通成为解决我国城市化带来的诸多城市问题的最佳途径。我国现已有多个城市的轨道交通投入建设和运营。由于城市轨道交通在国民经济建设中有重要作用和重大影响,其国民经济评价就显得尤为重要。目前我国已出版多部项目经济评价相关办法,但是关于城市轨道交通项目评价目前还没有明确统一的参考办法。本文主要探讨和分析城市轨道交通的国民经济评价理论和方法。首先分析了我国城市发展轨道交通的必要性,论述了国内外项目国民经济评价理论的发展以及城市轨道交通进行国民经济评价的必要性,明确了城市轨道交通项目国民经济评价的原则和评价步骤；然后依据费用、效益的来源和量化能力大小以及项目影响的性质将城市轨道交通效益与费用进行了识别分类,利用影子价格换算系数对城市轨道交通的费用进行调整,并对可量化的效益建立了计算模型,对不可量化的效益做了定性描述；接着详细论述了国民经济评价参数,探讨了国民经济评价中影子价格的涵义、计算方法、以及货物影子价格的确定,并分析了城市轨道交通项目建设中的特殊投入物(劳动力、土地)的影子价格和社会折现率；此后论述了国民经济评价指标的意义和计算,讨论了敏感性分析的必要性和分析方法；最后进行了实例分析,论证了本文所述评价方法的实用性。
[Abstract]:Urban rail transit has the advantages of large volume, fast transportation, safety and comfort, energy saving and environmental protection, etc. Developing urban rail transit has become the best way to solve many urban problems brought by urbanization in China. At present, many cities in China have put rail transit into construction and operation. Because urban rail transit plays an important role in the national economic construction, its national economic evaluation is particularly important. At present, many economic evaluation methods for urban rail transit projects have been published in China, but there is no clear and unified reference method for the evaluation of urban rail transit projects. This paper mainly discusses and analyzes the theory and method of national economic evaluation of urban rail transit. Firstly, the necessity of urban rail transit development in China is analyzed, and the development of national economic evaluation theory of domestic and foreign projects and the necessity of national economic evaluation of urban rail transit are discussed. This paper clarifies the principles and steps of national economic evaluation of urban rail transit projects, and then identifies and classifies the benefits and expenses of urban rail transit according to the cost, the source and the quantification ability of benefits, and the nature of the impact of the project. The cost of urban rail transit is adjusted by using the shadow price conversion coefficient, the calculation model of quantifiable benefit is established, the non-quantifiable benefit is qualitatively described, and the evaluation parameters of national economy are discussed in detail. This paper discusses the meaning and calculation method of shadow price in national economic evaluation and the determination of shadow price of goods, and analyzes the shadow price and social discount rate of special inputs (labor force, land) in the construction of urban rail transit project. After that, the significance and calculation of the evaluation index of national economy are discussed, the necessity and method of sensitivity analysis are discussed, and the practicability of the evaluation method described in this paper is proved.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F572;F282;F224

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