轨道交通PPP项目公司风险评估研究

发布时间：2018-06-10 00:12

本文选题：轨道交通PPP模式 + PPP项目公司　；参考：《北京交通大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：我国社会发展迅速,对轨道交通的建设需求大、运营水平要求高。随着我国基础设施建设的力度不断加大、市场开放的程度不断深入,以及公私合作制(Public Private Partnership)模式在国外基础设施领域的广泛应用及经验积累,PPP模式已成为轨道交通项目建设运营的主要模式。轨道交通业引入私有资本能提高行业效率和管理水平的同时,还能促使PPP项目公司产生和发展。目前我国对PPP模式的相关研究缺乏系统性,依然局限于项目融资阶段和建设阶段,很少关注项目的运营阶段。而PPP模式在我国轨道交通业的应用研究,尤其是对依托项目而产生的PPP项目公司的构成及运作的研究,国内很少有学者涉及。特别是,学者们都是从PPP项目本身的角度进行风险分类,没有基于PPP项目公司的价值评估方法对公司及项目的风险进行系统、全面地评估。本文是从企业价值评估的视角入手,以控制风险、提升PPP项目公司价值为最终目的,以公司运作的PPP项目为切入点,在全面了解我国轨道交通业和PPP模式的基础上,利用核对表法对PPP项目公司的风险因素进行系统、全面地识别,参考PPP项目风险已有的研究成果,结合PPP项目公司的特点建立相关风险指标体系,再运用模糊综合评价法对风险因素进一步量化,给出PPP项目公司的整体风险程度评价。根据案例中京港地铁公司的具体情况进行风险评估,形成6个主因素层和15个子因素层；找到关键风险控制因素是经营风险因素、项目风险因素、政府风险因素和法律风险因素；根据京港地铁公司的实际情况,其总体的风险评价程度为较高。最后为此类PPP项目公司的风险控制与价值提升提供了指导性的建议。图14幅,表21个,参考文献34篇。
[Abstract]:The society of our country develops rapidly, the demand for the construction of rail transit is large and the level of operation is high. With the increasing efforts of infrastructure construction in China, the degree of market opening has been deepening. The PPP model has become the main mode of the construction and operation of rail transit projects, and the extensive application and experience accumulation of PPP model in the field of foreign infrastructure has become the main mode of construction and operation of rail transit projects. The introduction of private capital in rail transit industry can not only improve the efficiency and management level of the industry, but also promote the emergence and development of PPP project companies. At present, there is a lack of systematic research on the PPP model in China. Still limited to the project financing phase and construction phase, little attention is paid to the operation phase of the project. However, the application of PPP model in rail transit industry in China, especially the research on the structure and operation of PPP project company based on project, is seldom concerned by domestic scholars. In particular, scholars classify the risks from the point of view of the PPP project itself, and there is no systematic and comprehensive evaluation of the risk of the company and the project based on the value evaluation method of the PPP project company. The ultimate goal is to control risks and promote the company value of PPP projects. Based on the comprehensive understanding of the rail transit industry and PPP model of our country, the PPP projects run by the company are taken as the breakthrough point. The risk factors of PPP project company are systematically identified by using the checklist method. Referring to the existing research results of PPP project risk, the relevant risk index system is established according to the characteristics of PPP project company. Then the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to quantify the risk factors, and the overall risk evaluation of PPP project company is given. According to the specific situation of Jinggang Metro Company in the case, the risk assessment is carried out, forming 6 main factor layers and 15 sub-factor layers, and finding out that the key risk control factors are management risk factors, project risk factors, Government risk factors and legal risk factors, according to the actual situation of Jinggang Metro Corporation, its overall risk evaluation degree is higher. Finally, it provides some guidance for PPP project company's risk control and value promotion. There are 14 figures, 21 tables and 34 references.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F272.3;F532.6

【参考文献】