通勤时空弹性对居民通勤出发时间决策的影响——以北京上地—清河地区为例

发布时间：2018-06-12 06:59

本文选题：出行行为研究 + 通勤　；参考：《城市发展研究》2014年12期

【摘要】：城市居民交通出行的出发时间决策是城市交通出行行为研究的核心内容之一。尽管已有研究揭示,活动安排的制约性(或弹性)可能影响居民通勤出发时间(特别是"错峰出行")的决策,但多数研究仅考虑工作时间的制约(或弹性),较少从整个通勤链出发分析通勤前后、通勤过程中各项活动的弹性对居民通勤出发时间以及"错峰出行"决策的影响。在已有研究基础上,立足于中国现实背景,基于2012年在北京市郊区实施的调查数据,尝试揭示通勤前后、通勤过程中各项活动的时空弹性对居民通勤出发时间决策的影响,以证实弹性的活动安排是否有利于居民"错峰"出行。研究结论主要有:(1)居民的通勤出发时刻集中在高峰时段;(2)个人社会经济属性、城市空间形态、通勤的时空特征等因素对居民早、晚通勤的出发时间决策产生了影响;(3)弹性的活动安排对早通勤出发时间决策产生了显著影响,对晚通勤出发时间决策的影响不显著。研究结论将为我国背景的城市时间规划提供实证案例的支撑。
[Abstract]:The decision of departure time of urban residents is one of the core contents of urban traffic travel behavior research. Although studies have revealed that the constraints (or flexibility) of activity arrangements may affect the decision of residents to commute to departure times (especially "staggered peak trips"), However, most studies only consider the restriction of working time (or flexibility), and seldom analyze the influence of the flexibility of each activity during commuting on residents' commuting departure time and "wrong peak trip" decision from the point of view of the whole commuting chain. Based on the existing research, based on the survey data carried out in the suburbs of Beijing in 2012, this paper attempts to reveal the influence of the spatio-temporal elasticity of the activities during commuting on the decision making of the residents' commute departure time. To verify whether flexible activity arrangements are conducive to residents, "wrong peak" travel. The main conclusions of the study are as follows: (1) residents' commute departure time is concentrated in the peak hour (2) personal social and economic attributes, urban spatial form, and space-time characteristics of commuting are early to the residents. The decision of departure time of late commuting has a significant influence on the decision of early commuting departure time, but not on the decision of late commute departure time. (3) the flexible activity arrangement has a significant effect on the decision of early commuting departure time. The conclusion of the study will provide empirical case support for urban time planning in China.
【作者单位】：北京大学城市与环境学院;
【基金】：“十二五”国家科技支撑计划项目(2012BAJ05B00)子课题(2012BAJ05B04)
【分类号】：F572.88

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