贵都高速公路BOT项目风险控制研究
发布时间：2018-07-18 09:57
【摘要】：受国际金融危机的影响,近年来国内经济发展持续放缓,通胀压力居高不下,为了抑制通货膨胀,国内紧缩的货币政策还在持续。全国各地许多大型基础设施停建缓建,国内建筑市场公开招标项目较以前年度大幅减少,地方财政受国家宏观调控的影响也现吃紧状态,地方上尤其是西部通过招商引资建设基础设施日益广泛,给民间资本以BOT模式进入基础设施建设提供了契机。 本文对贵都高速公路BOT项目的风险控制进行了研究。本文站在项目公司的角度,首先阐述了贵都高速公路BOT项目管理现状以及风险控制中存在的问题,对影响管理目标实现的风险源进行了识别,按其性质分类为完工风险、政策风险、自然环境风险、成本超支风险、金融风险、市场风险和运营管理风险：接着对各项风险进行了深入地分析,并运用德尔菲法和定量定性分析法对项目风险进行了总体评价。在风险分析评价的基础上,针对项目风险控制中存在的问题和可能会发生的风险,提出了具体的风险应对措施。本文的研究旨在为中国交通建设集团后续高速公路BOT项目的风险管理提供借鉴。
[Abstract]:Due to the impact of the international financial crisis, domestic economic development has slowed continuously in recent years, and inflationary pressures remain high. In order to curb inflation, domestic tightening monetary policy is continuing. Many large-scale infrastructure projects in various parts of the country have ceased to be built slowly, the open bidding projects in the domestic construction market have decreased substantially compared with previous years, and the local finance is also in a tight state under the influence of the state's macroeconomic regulation and control. The construction of infrastructure by attracting investment from local areas, especially in the west, is becoming more and more extensive, which provides an opportunity for folk capital to enter infrastructure construction in bot mode. This paper studies the risk control of bot project in Guidu Expressway. From the point of view of the project company, this paper firstly expounds the present situation of bot project management and the existing problems in risk control of Guidu Expressway, and identifies the risk sources that affect the realization of management objectives, and classifies it as the completion risk according to its nature. Policy risk, natural environment risk, cost overrun risk, financial risk, market risk and operational management risk. Delphi method and quantitative qualitative analysis are used to evaluate the overall risk of the project. On the basis of risk analysis and evaluation, this paper puts forward concrete measures to deal with the problems and possible risks in project risk control. The purpose of this paper is to provide reference for the risk management of the follow-up highway bot project of China Transportation Construction Group.
【学位授予单位】：长沙理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F542;F283
本文编号：2131547
[Abstract]:Due to the impact of the international financial crisis, domestic economic development has slowed continuously in recent years, and inflationary pressures remain high. In order to curb inflation, domestic tightening monetary policy is continuing. Many large-scale infrastructure projects in various parts of the country have ceased to be built slowly, the open bidding projects in the domestic construction market have decreased substantially compared with previous years, and the local finance is also in a tight state under the influence of the state's macroeconomic regulation and control. The construction of infrastructure by attracting investment from local areas, especially in the west, is becoming more and more extensive, which provides an opportunity for folk capital to enter infrastructure construction in bot mode. This paper studies the risk control of bot project in Guidu Expressway. From the point of view of the project company, this paper firstly expounds the present situation of bot project management and the existing problems in risk control of Guidu Expressway, and identifies the risk sources that affect the realization of management objectives, and classifies it as the completion risk according to its nature. Policy risk, natural environment risk, cost overrun risk, financial risk, market risk and operational management risk. Delphi method and quantitative qualitative analysis are used to evaluate the overall risk of the project. On the basis of risk analysis and evaluation, this paper puts forward concrete measures to deal with the problems and possible risks in project risk control. The purpose of this paper is to provide reference for the risk management of the follow-up highway bot project of China Transportation Construction Group.
【学位授予单位】：长沙理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F542;F283
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 旷开萃;;政府视角下的BOT项目实施研究[J];重庆建筑;2011年06期
2 王首绪;杨静;郑秀珍;;基于熵权的公路BOT项目建设风险的模糊综合评价[J];交通科学与工程;2010年03期
3 朱建华;;论BOT项目的风险与风险分担[J];法制与社会;2010年03期
4 李成益;;BOT模式风险管理[J];经济视角(下);2010年12期
5 侯润珍;我国工程项目管理的现状及对策[J];经济师;2003年10期
6 涂铭;汪霄;;PPP项目风险因素和承担机制研究[J];基建优化;2007年04期
7 柯永建;王守清;陈炳泉;;基础设施PPP项目的风险分担[J];建筑经济;2008年04期
8 吴孝灵;周晶;俞潇阳;;基于总包商施工效率的BOT项目工期激励合同研究[J];科技进步与对策;2011年13期
9 李香花;王孟钧;张彦春;;模糊多维偏好群决策的BOT项目风险管理研究[J];科技进步与对策;2011年13期
10 毛新述;杨有红;;内部控制与风险管理——中国会计学会2009内部控制专题学术研讨会综述[J];会计研究;2009年05期
相关重要报纸文章 前1条
1 中国财产再保险股份有限公司 李昕;[N];中国保险报;2011年
，本文编号：2131547
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/jingjilunwen/jtysjj/2131547.html
