高速公路PPP项目投资风险分担机制研究

发布时间：2018-10-13 16:05

【摘要】：近年来,随着交通行业的巨大发展,我国的经济相应的得到了巨大促进,同时所带来问题也不断增加,公众对高速公路的要求也不断增加,但由于高速公路建设存在着规模大、对资金的需求量大等特点,单靠政府独资建设难以维持,寻求高速公路建设资金实现多元化成为必然,此时PPP模式登上了历史的舞台。但是随着PPP模式在我国的运用,又出现了新的问题。对于高速公路PPP项目来说,该模式的核心问题就是风险如何进行合理分担,它关乎着整个PPP项目的成败。为了更好地管理风险,提高PPP项目在高速公路上运用的效率。本文将ISM法与Shapley值法引入高速公路PPP项目中,采用ISM法进行风险识别,不仅可以找出高速公路中可能存在的风险,更能进一步的了解风险之间的关联性,与此同时所采用的的Shapley值法更能明确参与各方之间的责任,确定共担风险在参与各方之间的比例。本文采用建模结合案例分析的方法从PPP项目风险分担的评判准则、建立原则和实施流程等方面建立了一套完整的高速公路PPP项目风险分担机制,旨在为高速公路PPP项目今后的成功实施提供理论依据。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the great development of transportation industry, the economy of our country has been greatly promoted, at the same time, the problems caused by it have been increasing, and the public demand for expressway has been increasing, but because of the large scale of highway construction, The large demand for funds is difficult to maintain by solely relying on the construction of the government. It is inevitable to seek diversification of the funds for highway construction. At this time, the PPP model has stepped onto the stage of history. However, with the application of PPP model in China, there are new problems. For the expressway PPP project, the core problem of this model is how to share the risk reasonably. It relates to the success or failure of the whole PPP project. In order to manage risk better, improve the efficiency of PPP project in expressway. In this paper, the ISM method and the Shapley value method are introduced into the expressway PPP project, and the ISM method is used to identify the risks, which can not only find out the possible risks in the expressway, but also further understand the relationship between the risks. At the same time, the Shapley value method can more clearly identify the responsibilities of the parties involved, and determine the proportion of shared risks among the parties involved. This paper adopts the method of modeling and case analysis to establish a set of complete risk sharing mechanism of expressway PPP project from the evaluation criteria of PPP project risk sharing, the establishment of principles and implementation process, etc. The aim is to provide the theoretical basis for the successful implementation of the expressway PPP project in the future.
【学位授予单位】：华东交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F283;F542.3

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