交通需求非对称价格效应对比分析
发布时间：2018-11-07 21:33
【摘要】：交通运输对于石油产品的消耗造成的空气污染已成为我国城市及区域雾霾成分的重要来源.价格是调整供需的主要手段,且具有不对称性,研究石油产品价格变动对交通需求的不对称影响效应具有实际意义.基于此,本文通过价格分解模型,将中国、日本、美国的汽油和柴油价格分解为三部分,探讨其对各国客运需求和货运需求的非对称性影响效应.实证分析结果表明:较高的油价到目前为止并未使中国的交通需求减少,而美国和日本的交通需求与价格均为负相关关系.日本交通需求受油价变化的影响并不显著.中国和美国的客运需求对于油价变化的非对称性效应均表现为价格恢复阶段的影响最大,同时,两国的货运需求对于油价变化较客运需求都更加敏感,但交通需求对油价变化的反应与历史价格相关,美国消费者对于价格上涨的预期与中国消费者有很大的区别.
[Abstract]:Air pollution caused by the consumption of petroleum products by transportation has become an important source of haze in cities and regions of China. Price is the main means to adjust supply and demand and has asymmetry. It is of practical significance to study the asymmetric effect of petroleum product price change on traffic demand. Based on this, this paper divides the gasoline and diesel prices of China, Japan and the United States into three parts through the price decomposition model, and discusses the asymmetric effect of gasoline and diesel prices on the passenger demand and freight demand of various countries. The results of empirical analysis show that the high oil price has not reduced the transportation demand in China so far, while the transportation demand in the United States and Japan is negatively correlated with the price. Japan's transportation demand is not significantly affected by changes in oil prices. The asymmetric effect of passenger demand in China and the United States on the change of oil price is the largest in the stage of price recovery, and the freight demand of both countries is more sensitive to the change of oil price than the demand for passenger transport. But the response of transport demand to changes in oil prices is related to historical prices, and U.S. consumers' expectations of price rises differ significantly from those of Chinese consumers.
【作者单位】： 陕西师范大学国际商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金面上项目(71473155) 中央高校基本科研业务费特别支持项目(14SZTZ03) 中国博士后科学基金特别资助项目(108633) 榆林市产学研合作项目(CXY12-2-10)
【分类号】：F512.5
[Abstract]:Air pollution caused by the consumption of petroleum products by transportation has become an important source of haze in cities and regions of China. Price is the main means to adjust supply and demand and has asymmetry. It is of practical significance to study the asymmetric effect of petroleum product price change on traffic demand. Based on this, this paper divides the gasoline and diesel prices of China, Japan and the United States into three parts through the price decomposition model, and discusses the asymmetric effect of gasoline and diesel prices on the passenger demand and freight demand of various countries. The results of empirical analysis show that the high oil price has not reduced the transportation demand in China so far, while the transportation demand in the United States and Japan is negatively correlated with the price. Japan's transportation demand is not significantly affected by changes in oil prices. The asymmetric effect of passenger demand in China and the United States on the change of oil price is the largest in the stage of price recovery, and the freight demand of both countries is more sensitive to the change of oil price than the demand for passenger transport. But the response of transport demand to changes in oil prices is related to historical prices, and U.S. consumers' expectations of price rises differ significantly from those of Chinese consumers.
【作者单位】： 陕西师范大学国际商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金面上项目(71473155) 中央高校基本科研业务费特别支持项目(14SZTZ03) 中国博士后科学基金特别资助项目(108633) 榆林市产学研合作项目(CXY12-2-10)
【分类号】：F512.5
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前1条
1 孔宪丽;;中国煤炭消费与影响因素动态关系的实证分析——兼论煤炭消费的非对称价格效应[J];资源科学;2010年10期
【共引文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 陈闻君;佘开勇;;中国省域煤炭消费空间格局演化特征[J];地理与地理信息科学;2014年02期
2 齐晓燕;郭丕斌;周喜君;;国内外煤炭消费及其影响研究进展述评[J];科技和产业;2014年05期
3 舒斌;戚永义;孙士恩;周崇波;何晓红;;参数变化对LiBr吸收式热泵性能的影响[J];节能;2012年07期
4 梁增强;马民涛;杜改芳;;计量经济模型在我国环境问题研究中的应用评述[J];环境工程;2013年S1期
5 秦之茵;;中国的收入分布与私家车保有量——基于分省面板数据的实证分析[J];经济师;2014年04期
6 刘福明;才庆祥;陈树召;周伟;昌s，
本文编号：2317629
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/jingjilunwen/jtysjj/2317629.html
