高速公路PPP项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-11-18 19:37

【摘要】：根据2011年交通部公布的《交通运输十二五发展规划》，我国高速公路里程要从2010年底的7.41万km增加到2015年的10.8万km。完成这个目标平均每年需要资金1.24万亿元，总计需要6.2万亿元的投资。单靠政府资金显然已不能满足需求，，因此，PPP模式应运而生。PPP模式将政府部门的政策支持能力和私人部门相对充裕的资金、先进的管理模式以及丰富的管理经验有机结合起来，目前己经在我国基础设施建设中得到了初步应用。由于基础设施PPP项目持续时间长、涉及面广、投入资金量大、风险因素多、风险大，其风险管理问题一直是项目各参与方所共同关心的一个焦点。本文在对国内外理论研究分析总结的基础上，从我国高速公路PPP项目风险的基本概念入手，对PPP模式的概念、基本形式、基本运作程序、风险定义和特点以及风险管理的含义、主要内容、特点等都进行了简要介绍；对高速公路PPP项目的风险进行了分析和评估，说明了PPP项目风险的主要特征，同时划分了风险的类别，构建了风险因素集合；运用层次分析法和模糊数学的方法建立了风险评价模型。通过矩阵计算得出主要风险因素是融资风险、市场运营风险和建设风险；在PPP项目风险分担原则的基础上，兼顾项目各参与方和项目的整体利益，分析并设计了PPP项目风险因素如何分担；分析了PPP项目风险管理的基本措施，并提出了PPP项目风险的具体应对措施。
[Abstract]:According to the 12th Five-Year Development Plan of Transportation issued by the Ministry of Communications in 2011, the mileage of expressway in China will increase from 74100 km at the end of 2010 to 108000 km. in 2015. It takes an average of 1.24 trillion yuan a year to achieve this goal, with a total investment of 6.2 trillion yuan. Government funding alone is clearly not enough to meet demand, so the PPP model has emerged. The PPP model brings the policy support capacity of government departments and relatively abundant private sector funding. Advanced management mode and rich management experience have been applied in infrastructure construction in China. Because the infrastructure PPP project lasts for a long time, involves a wide range of areas, has a large amount of investment, risk factors and risk, its risk management has been a common focus of the project participants. On the basis of analyzing and summarizing the domestic and foreign theories, this paper starts with the basic concept of the PPP project risk of expressway in our country, and introduces the concept, basic form, basic operation procedure, risk definition and characteristic of the PPP mode, as well as the meaning of risk management. The main contents and characteristics are briefly introduced. This paper analyzes and evaluates the risk of expressway PPP project, explains the main characteristics of the risk of PPP project, and at the same time divides the type of risk and constructs the set of risk factors. The risk assessment model is established by using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy mathematics. The main risk factors are financing risk, market operation risk and construction risk. On the basis of the principle of PPP project risk sharing, taking into account the overall interests of the project participants and the project, this paper analyzes and designs how to share the risk factors of the PPP project. This paper analyzes the basic measures of PPP project risk management, and puts forward the concrete countermeasures of PPP project risk.
【学位授予单位】：西安科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F283;F542;F224

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