薄膜型LNG船舶期租运输经济性研究

发布时间：2018-11-26 08:58

【摘要】：随着天然气资源的发现,天然气的使用越来越广泛。成为稀缺清洁资源的LNG在近几年其生产和贸易越来越活跃,日本、韩国、美国、欧洲这些能源消费大国都在兴建LNG接收站,引进LNG将会为能源供应多元化和能源消费结构改善提供了保障。LNG业务已成为国际大石油公司新的利润增长点,在石油发展之后,世界油气工业将会把LNG作为一个新热点成为热门能源商品，，在全球范围内争夺。本文研究的理论基础是船舶租赁和经济效益相关理论。采用文献研究法、数据分析法等研究方法对采集的数据进行测算,根据数据结果对薄膜型LNG船舶经济效益做出评价,并加以分析、总结。在全面分析研究世界LNG贸易与运输发展、我国LNG产业布局及发展形势及薄膜型LNG发展现状及趋势之后,认真了解船舶租赁方式、船舶投资方式、经济效益评价基本要素、经济性评价方法等相关理论,分析影响薄膜型LNG船舶租赁的主要因素,利用投资回收期、净现值、内部收益率和敏感性分析构建模拟分析过程,进行经济性分析评价。提出制定适当的资源引进策略,增强对LNG供应方的影响力；以长期合同为主,发展中、短期贸易合同；寻找有利的定价公式等措施提高薄膜型LNG船经济效益。最后,基于研究的结论,文章期望对LNG船舶运输经济性提供一定的参考和指导作用,使企业在做船舶投资前对以后的运营、资本回收的影响时有一定的方向依据,规避可能引起的业绩下滑的风险,促进我国LNG产业不断发展。
[Abstract]:With the discovery of natural gas resources, the use of natural gas is more and more widespread. LNG, a scarce clean resource, has become increasingly active in production and trade in recent years. Japan, South Korea, the United States and Europe, the major energy consuming countries, are all building LNG receiving stations. The introduction of LNG will guarantee the diversification of energy supply and the improvement of energy consumption structure. LNG business has become a new profit growth point for large international oil companies. The world oil and gas industry will take LNG as a new hot spot and become a hot energy commodity. The theoretical basis of this paper is the theory of ship charter and economic benefits. The collected data are measured by the methods of literature research and data analysis. According to the data results, the economic benefits of membrane LNG ships are evaluated, analyzed and summarized. After a comprehensive analysis of the development of LNG trade and transportation in the world, the industrial layout and development situation of LNG in China, and the current situation and trend of development of membrane LNG, the basic elements of ship chartering mode, ship investment mode and economic benefit evaluation are carefully understood. The economic evaluation method and other related theories are used to analyze the main factors affecting the membrane LNG ship charter. The process of simulation analysis is constructed by using the investment payback period, net present value, internal rate of return and sensitivity analysis, and the economic analysis is carried out. The paper puts forward some measures to improve the economic benefit of LNG ship, such as making appropriate resource introduction strategy, enhancing the influence on LNG supplier, focusing on long-term contract, developing medium and short term trade contract, finding favorable pricing formula and so on. Finally, based on the conclusion of the research, the paper expects to provide a certain reference and guidance to the economy of LNG ship transportation, so that the enterprise will have a certain direction basis for the future operation and capital recovery before making the ship investment. To avoid the risk of performance decline and promote the development of LNG industry in China.
【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.22;F552.3

【参考文献】