城市轨道交通对沿线房地产的价值影响研究
发布时间：2018-12-28 11:16
【摘要】：城市轨道交通作为当代社会的重要交通工具,与传统公交运输设施相比具有运载量大、污染率低、高速安全、节约能源等特点,是目前世界各地用于缓解城市拥堵与空气污染的主要手段。同时,国内外众多学者发现,轨道交通不仅能为城市居民提供交通便利,还能带动沿线地区房地产业、商业以及广告业等的发展和繁荣,产生明显的社会效益和外部经济效益。而作为城市大型公共基础设施,轨道交通在我国目前仍由政府主导投资建设,并广泛存在项目投资金额大、轨道交通营运期间亏损严重以及财政持续投入负担重等问题。定量分析城市轨道交通对沿线房地产价值的影响,对促进城市轨道交通实现外部效益内部化,开辟城市轨道交通投融资创新模式,减轻政府财政负担,促进城市轨道交通与房地产开发商的双赢合作,都具有非常重要的意义。本论文从理论分析与总结回顾国内外相关文献入手,以西安地铁3号线为例,对城市轨道交通对沿线住宅房地产价值的影响机制进行了较为深入的分析和研究。1)以西安地铁3号线为例,在对西安市城市轨道交通与房地产发展现状的分析基础上,对城市轨道交通对房地产价值的影响进行了定性分析,得出城市轨道交通可以提高周边房地产项目的可达性;改变沿线土地的利用性质和开发强度;促进城市的区域经济繁荣,从而刺激轨道交通沿线及周边区域房地产价值的上升的研究结论。2)以2017年2月为研究时点,通过可达性理论对西安地铁3号线对沿线住房价值的影响半径进行了计算分析;并选取沿线2.5km为研究范围,利用特征价格模型就西安地铁3号线对沿线住房价值的平均影响效应与站点不同距离圈层的住房增值影响效应分别进行了定量分析,发现:西安地铁3号线各站点的影响半径横跨0.571~2.684km,距离市中心较远的边缘站点影响半径较大,而距离市中心较近站点影响半径相对较小,半径趋势曲线近似呈现“倒U”形;3号线对沿线商品住房单价的均值增值百分占比为10.62%;此外,还发现3号线对沿线站点1500m以内的住房价值影响较为显著,其对站点周边500m及1000~1500m圈层内的住房单价平均增值幅度约为9%和8%。3)并基于以上研究,对未来西安市城市轨道交通建设项目实行创新性市场化投融资提出建议,如与房地产进行联合开发、引入民间资本进行PPP项目融资以及设立轨道交通专项基金等投融资方式。通过建立多元化的投融资创新机制,以助我市缓解城市轨道交通建设发展之困境,促进城市轨道交通建设项目的可持续健康发展。
[Abstract]:As an important means of transportation in contemporary society, urban rail transit has the characteristics of large transportation capacity, low pollution rate, high speed and safety, energy saving and so on, compared with the traditional public transport facilities. Is the world's main means of reducing urban congestion and air pollution. At the same time, many scholars at home and abroad have found that rail transit can not only provide convenient transportation for urban residents, but also promote the development and prosperity of real estate, commerce and advertising industry in the areas along the route, resulting in obvious social and external economic benefits. As a large public infrastructure, rail transit is still invested by the government in our country, and there are many problems, such as large investment amount, serious losses during the operation of rail transit and heavy financial burden. Quantitative analysis of the impact of urban rail transit on the real estate value along the line, to promote the internalization of the external benefits of urban rail transit, to open up innovative modes of investment and financing of urban rail transit, and to lighten the financial burden of the government. It is of great significance to promote the double-win cooperation between urban rail transit and real estate developers. Based on the theoretical analysis and review of the relevant literature at home and abroad, this paper takes Xi'an Metro Line 3 as an example. The influence mechanism of urban rail transit on the value of residential real estate along the line is analyzed and studied. 1) taking Xi'an Metro Line 3 as an example, on the basis of analyzing the present situation of Xi'an urban rail transit and real estate development, The impact of urban rail transit on real estate value is analyzed qualitatively, and it is concluded that urban rail transit can improve the accessibility of real estate projects. Changing the nature of land use and development intensity along the route; The conclusion of the study on promoting the prosperity of the city's regional economy and thus stimulating the rise of the real estate value along the rail transit line and surrounding areas. 2) taking February 2017 as the time point for the study, The influence radius of Xi'an Metro Line 3 on housing value is calculated and analyzed by accessibility theory. The 2.5km along the line is chosen as the research scope, and the average effect of Xi'an Metro Line 3 on the housing value along the line and the effect of housing increment at different distances on the housing value are quantitatively analyzed by using the characteristic price model. It is found that the influence radius of each station of Xi'an Metro Line 3 spans 0.571km and 2.684km, the influence radius of the edge station is larger than that of the center of the city, but the influence radius of the station near the center of the city is relatively small. The curve of radius trend approximately shows "inverted U" shape; The average increment of the unit price of commodity housing along Line 3 is 10.62%; In addition, it is found that Line 3 has a significant impact on the housing value within 1500 m of the stations along the route, and it has an average increment of 9% and 8.3% for the housing unit prices in the 500m and 1000m circles around the stations, and based on the above research, Some suggestions on innovative market-oriented investment and financing of Xi'an urban rail transit construction project in the future are put forward, such as joint development with real estate, introduction of private capital for PPP project financing and establishment of rail transit special fund and other investment and financing methods. Through the establishment of diversified investment and financing innovation mechanism, this paper aims to help our city alleviate the plight of urban rail transit construction development and promote the sustainable and healthy development of urban rail transit construction projects.
【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F572.88;F299.23
[Abstract]:As an important means of transportation in contemporary society, urban rail transit has the characteristics of large transportation capacity, low pollution rate, high speed and safety, energy saving and so on, compared with the traditional public transport facilities. Is the world's main means of reducing urban congestion and air pollution. At the same time, many scholars at home and abroad have found that rail transit can not only provide convenient transportation for urban residents, but also promote the development and prosperity of real estate, commerce and advertising industry in the areas along the route, resulting in obvious social and external economic benefits. As a large public infrastructure, rail transit is still invested by the government in our country, and there are many problems, such as large investment amount, serious losses during the operation of rail transit and heavy financial burden. Quantitative analysis of the impact of urban rail transit on the real estate value along the line, to promote the internalization of the external benefits of urban rail transit, to open up innovative modes of investment and financing of urban rail transit, and to lighten the financial burden of the government. It is of great significance to promote the double-win cooperation between urban rail transit and real estate developers. Based on the theoretical analysis and review of the relevant literature at home and abroad, this paper takes Xi'an Metro Line 3 as an example. The influence mechanism of urban rail transit on the value of residential real estate along the line is analyzed and studied. 1) taking Xi'an Metro Line 3 as an example, on the basis of analyzing the present situation of Xi'an urban rail transit and real estate development, The impact of urban rail transit on real estate value is analyzed qualitatively, and it is concluded that urban rail transit can improve the accessibility of real estate projects. Changing the nature of land use and development intensity along the route; The conclusion of the study on promoting the prosperity of the city's regional economy and thus stimulating the rise of the real estate value along the rail transit line and surrounding areas. 2) taking February 2017 as the time point for the study, The influence radius of Xi'an Metro Line 3 on housing value is calculated and analyzed by accessibility theory. The 2.5km along the line is chosen as the research scope, and the average effect of Xi'an Metro Line 3 on the housing value along the line and the effect of housing increment at different distances on the housing value are quantitatively analyzed by using the characteristic price model. It is found that the influence radius of each station of Xi'an Metro Line 3 spans 0.571km and 2.684km, the influence radius of the edge station is larger than that of the center of the city, but the influence radius of the station near the center of the city is relatively small. The curve of radius trend approximately shows "inverted U" shape; The average increment of the unit price of commodity housing along Line 3 is 10.62%; In addition, it is found that Line 3 has a significant impact on the housing value within 1500 m of the stations along the route, and it has an average increment of 9% and 8.3% for the housing unit prices in the 500m and 1000m circles around the stations, and based on the above research, Some suggestions on innovative market-oriented investment and financing of Xi'an urban rail transit construction project in the future are put forward, such as joint development with real estate, introduction of private capital for PPP project financing and establishment of rail transit special fund and other investment and financing methods. Through the establishment of diversified investment and financing innovation mechanism, this paper aims to help our city alleviate the plight of urban rail transit construction development and promote the sustainable and healthy development of urban rail transit construction projects.
【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F572.88;F299.23
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