城市居民气候变化风险认知对出行方式选择的影响—基于620位城市居民的调查分析

发布时间：2019-01-20 19:07

【摘要】：城市是温室气体的主要来源,发展"低碳城市"是应对气候变化的必然要求,需要居民广泛参与和行动。气候变化风险的认知是有效应对气候变化的前提,城市居民气候变化风险认知是否会影响其出行方式,促进其低碳出行呢?基于620位城市居民的调查数据,利用Binary Logistic模型,探讨了城市居民气候变化风险认知对其出行方式的影响。研究表明:(1)城市居民气候变化风险认知对出行方式没有积极影响;(2)城市居民出行方式选择主要受性别(X1)、年龄(X3)、家庭平均月收入(X5)、居住地距最近公共交通设施的距离(X9)、居住地与目的地的距离(X10)因素影响,其中居住地距最近公共交通设施的距离(X9)影响最大。此研究对政府应对气候变化、发展低碳城市、做好节能减排工作有一定参考价值。
[Abstract]:Cities are the main sources of greenhouse gases, and the development of "low-carbon cities" is an inevitable requirement to deal with climate change, and needs extensive participation and action of residents. Climate change risk cognition is the premise to deal with climate change effectively. Will urban residents' climate change risk cognition affect their travel mode and promote their low-carbon travel? Based on the survey data of 620 urban residents, the effects of climate change risk cognition on the travel patterns of urban residents were investigated by using Binary Logistic model. The results show that: (1) Urban residents' climate change risk awareness has no positive effect on travel patterns; (2) the choice of travel mode for urban residents is mainly influenced by sex (X1), age (X3), average monthly household income (X5), distance between residence and nearest public transport facilities (X9), distance between residence and destination (X10). The distance between residence and nearest public transport facilities (X 9) is the most important. This study has some reference value for the government to deal with climate change, to develop low-carbon cities, to do energy saving and emission reduction.
【作者单位】：南京信息工程大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目
【分类号】：F572;P467

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