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政府投资高速公路建设项目社会经济效益后评价指标体系研究

发布时间:2019-06-15 02:01
【摘要】:截至到2012年,我国高速公路通车里程已达到9.6万公里。为满足经济社会不断发展的需要,2020年前,我国高速公路建设将继续处于快速发展阶段。作为我国社会经济体系中的重要基础设施,高速公路项目对区域社会经济发展有显著的影响,因此,高速公路的社会经济效益后评价工作也越来越受到重视。目前,相关部门制定了关于效益后评价的法律法规,使社会经济效益后评价工作更加规范。同时,理论界对高速公路的社会经济效益后评价也有了一定研究,并将成果运用到实际评价工作中,但是,由于我国政府投资高速公路建设项目社会经济效益后评价工作相较发达国家起步较晚,在评价指标体系方面仍存在一些问题和不足。建立一套全面、实用、规范化的高速公路社会经济效益后评价指标体系,对深入开展政府投资高速公路建设项目社会经济效益后评价工作具有一定的理论意义和现实指导性。 本文以公共产品理论、可持续发展理论和项目管理理论为基础,利用层次分析法、结构方程模型等方法,对政府投资高速公路建设项目社会经济效益后评价指标体系进行了系统的研究,完善了政府投资高速公路建设项目社会经济效益后评价指标体系,运用专家打分法和层次分析法确定指标权重,通过模糊综合量化模型和结构方程模型相结合的方法,对项目总体效益水平及评价指标间的路径影响关系进行研究。 首先,本文从高速公路项目后评价及社会经济效益后评价的相关概念出发,分析政府投资高速公路建设项目社会经济效益在社会体系中的重要作用;接着,对政府投资高速公路项目社会经济效益后评价指标体系的现状进行分析,剖析现有指标体系存在的问题;其次,在比较借鉴国内外学术界成果的基础上,针对存在的问题,建立“3E”社会经济效益后评价指标体系,运用层次分析法确定效益评价指标权重,提出采用模糊综合量化模型和结构方程模型相结合的方法来评价效益指标。最后,运用新构建的社会经济效益后评价指标体系和指标评价模型,,对DX高速公路项目进行社会经济效益后评价,并对评价的结果进行分析。
[Abstract]:By 2012, the mileage of highways in China had reached 96000 kilometers. In order to meet the needs of continuous economic and social development, the highway construction in China will continue to be in the stage of rapid development before 2020. As an important infrastructure in China's social and economic system, highway projects have a significant impact on regional social and economic development. Therefore, more and more attention has been paid to the post-evaluation of social and economic benefits of highways. At present, the relevant departments have formulated laws and regulations on benefit post-evaluation, which makes the post-evaluation of social and economic benefits more standardized. At the same time, the theoretical circle has also studied the post-evaluation of social and economic benefits of expressway, and applied the results to the actual evaluation work. However, due to the fact that the post-evaluation of social and economic benefits of expressway construction projects invested by the government of our country started later than that of developed countries, there are still some problems and deficiencies in the evaluation index system. The establishment of a set of comprehensive, practical and standardized post-evaluation index system for social and economic benefits of expressway construction projects has certain theoretical significance and practical guidance for carrying out the post-evaluation of social and economic benefits of government-invested expressway construction projects. Based on the theory of public goods, the theory of sustainable development and the theory of project management, this paper makes a systematic study on the post-evaluation index system of social and economic benefits of government-invested expressway construction projects by using analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and structural equation model, perfects the post-evaluation index system of social and economic benefits of government-invested expressway construction projects, and determines the index weight by using expert scoring method and analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Through the combination of fuzzy comprehensive quantitative model and structural equation model, the relationship between the overall benefit level of the project and the path influence of the evaluation index is studied. First of all, based on the related concepts of post-evaluation of expressway project and post-evaluation of social and economic benefits, this paper analyzes the important role of social and economic benefits of government-invested expressway construction projects in the social system, then analyzes the present situation of the post-evaluation index system of social and economic benefits of government-invested expressway projects, and analyzes the existing problems of the existing index system. Secondly, on the basis of comparing and drawing lessons from the achievements of academic circles at home and abroad, aiming at the existing problems, the post-evaluation index system of "3e" social and economic benefits is established, the weight of benefit evaluation index is determined by analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and the method of combining fuzzy comprehensive quantitative model with structural equation model is put forward to evaluate the benefit index. Finally, using the newly constructed post-evaluation index system and index evaluation model of social and economic benefits, the post-evaluation of social and economic benefits of DX expressway project is carried out, and the results of the evaluation are analyzed.
【学位授予单位】:长沙理工大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F542

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