贸易成本对中欧贸易影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-15 17:15

本文选题：贸易成本 + 中欧贸易　；参考：《南京大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：传统的贸易理论都是建立在自由贸易的假定之下,贸易成本几乎被完全排除在外,因为它并不是决定贸易模式的关键因素。但是,随着国际贸易的发展和贸易理论的完善,贸易成本被视为“打开所有其他开放宏观经济学之谜的金钥匙”,开始在国际专业化分工和贸易模型中扮演核心角色。同时,贸易成本在理解企业区位选择和经济行为中也发挥着重要的作用。虽然,运输和通讯行业的快速发展降低了以距离为基础的贸易成本,但在全球化发展的今天,贸易成本依然广泛存在,并在很大程度上影响着双边贸易的发展。中国30多年的经济增长得益于对外贸易的快速增长。欧盟作为中国第一大贸易伙伴和第一大进口市场,是中国重要的资金、技术来源地。当前,面临着世界经济格局的调整,中国和欧盟加强经贸合作不仅符合双方的共同利益,也是携手应对危机、实现共同发展的迫切要求。对中欧贸易成本进行全面的度量,分析中欧贸易增长的动力,对于促进中欧贸易持续健康的发展具有重大的理论和现实意义。理论研究总是侧重于从需求和供给的角度解释双边贸易的增长,贸易成本下降对贸易增长的贡献率却总是被忽略。本文采用改进后的引力模型,克服了传统贸易成本测度方法的缺陷,估算了中国与欧盟1995年到2012年的双边贸易成本,并将贸易成本分类,分析不同成本的变化趋势。进一步地,研究影响中国和欧盟贸易成本的主要因素。之后,将中欧贸易增长分解为四部分,研究各部分尤其是贸易成本下降在不同时段对中欧贸易增长的贡献率,探讨中欧贸易发展背后的原因。最后,根据本文得到的结论,有针对性地提出合理的建议。
[Abstract]:The traditional trade theory is based on the assumption of free trade and the trade cost is almost completely excluded because it is not the key factor to determine the trade model. However, with the development of international trade and the perfection of trade theory, trade cost is regarded as "the golden key to open all other mysteries of open macroeconomics", and it begins to play a key role in international specialization and trade model. At the same time, trade cost also plays an important role in understanding enterprise location choice and economic behavior. Although the rapid development of transport and communication industry has reduced the distance based trade costs, in the globalization of today, trade costs still exist widely, and to a large extent affect the development of bilateral trade. China's economic growth of more than 30 years has benefited from the rapid growth of foreign trade. As China's largest trading partner and import market, EU is China's important source of capital and technology. At present, facing the adjustment of the world economic pattern, it is not only in the common interests of both sides that China and EU strengthen their economic and trade cooperation, but also the urgent need to work hand in hand to deal with the crisis and realize common development. The comprehensive measurement of China-EU trade cost and the analysis of the motive force of China-EU trade growth are of great theoretical and practical significance to promote the sustainable and healthy development of China-EU trade. Theoretical studies always focus on explaining the growth of bilateral trade from the point of view of demand and supply, but the contribution rate of decreasing trade cost to trade growth is always ignored. In this paper, the improved gravity model is used to overcome the shortcomings of traditional trade cost measurement methods, and the bilateral trade costs between China and EU from 1995 to 2012 are estimated, and the trade costs are classified to analyze the trends of different costs. Further, the main factors that affect the trade cost of China and EU are studied. After that, the growth of China-EU trade is divided into four parts, and the contribution rate of each part, especially the decline of trade cost, to the growth of China-EU trade in different periods is studied, and the reasons behind the development of China-EU trade are discussed. Finally, according to the conclusion of this paper, some reasonable suggestions are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：南京大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.7;F740.45

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