基于SPA的中国沿海旅游城市经济系统脆弱性评价

发布时间：2018-01-27 00:29

本文关键词： 沿海旅游城市经济系统脆弱性评价集对分析障碍度　出处：《地理与地理信息科学》2013年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：运用集对分析法从经济敏感性和应对能力两方面对中国29个典型沿海旅游城市经济系统脆弱性进行测度。结果表明:1)沿海旅游城市经济系统脆弱性呈现出一定的区域差异:绍兴、南通、唐山、宁波为低脆弱性区域,而广州、秦皇岛、三亚、深圳、海口为高脆弱性区域;2)经济敏感性和应对能力共同决定沿海旅游城市经济系统脆弱性程度;3)根据障碍因素分析,总游客量增长率、旅游外汇收入占旅游总收入比重、旅游业增长弹性系数、旅游从业人员占总从业人员比重等敏感性因子及实际利用外资占全市GDP比重、教育支出占地方财政支出比重、人均GDP、产业结构多样化指数等应对能力因子是制约系统脆弱性降低的关键障碍因素。
[Abstract]:The vulnerability of economic system of 29 typical coastal tourist cities in China is measured by means of set pair analysis in terms of economic sensitivity and coping ability. The results show that: 1). The economic system fragility of coastal tourist cities shows certain regional differences: Shaoxing. Nantong, Tangshan and Ningbo are low vulnerability areas, while Guangzhou, Qinhuangdao, Sanya, Shenzhen and Haikou are high vulnerability areas. 2) Economic sensitivity and coping ability jointly determine the degree of economic system vulnerability of coastal tourist cities; 3) according to the analysis of obstacle factors, the growth rate of total tourist volume, the proportion of tourism foreign exchange income to total tourism income, and the elasticity coefficient of tourism growth are analyzed. The proportion of tourism employees to the total number of employees and the proportion of actual utilization of foreign capital to the city's GDP, education expenditure accounted for the proportion of local financial expenditure, per capita GDP. Coping ability factors such as industrial structure diversification index are the key obstacle factors to reduce system vulnerability.
【作者单位】：浙江工商大学旅游与城市管理学院;
【基金】：浙江省自然科学基金项目(Y12D010024)
【分类号】：F592.7;F224
【正文快照】： 0引言脆弱性概念起源于自然灾害研究[1],随着研究不断深入,脆弱性已由最初只关注自然系统的脆弱性逐渐扩展到探讨人文系统脆弱性、人-环境耦合系统脆弱性的综合研究[2]。旅游业是敏感性行业,易受外部环境和突发事件的影响[3],以旅游业为支柱产业的城市经济发展容易受到旅游需

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