辽河旅游带旅游—经济—环境耦合协调度研究

发布时间：2018-04-30 11:06

本文选题：辽河旅游带 + 旅游—经济—环境系统　；参考：《辽宁师范大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着可持续发展理念被越来越多的人所重视,旅游—经济—环境三者之间的协调发展状况也受到一定的关注。采取定量的分析方法,通过计算旅游、经济、环境三个子系统间的耦合协调度来分析旅游—经济—环境系统的耦合协调发展状况是目前学术界较为青睐的研究方法。文章则针对辽河旅游带所在的四个城市进行相关的研究。文章以耦合协调度理论和辽河旅游带流经的4个城市的发展现状为基础,计算出该地区旅游—经济—环境系统耦合协调度,分析其耦合协调状况在9年当中的时序演化和空间演化特点。通过运用灰色预测模型GM(1,1),预测辽河旅游带2014-2018年旅游—经济—环境系统耦合协调发展水平,并对得出的数值加以分析。最后,文章提出相对应的发展策略和建议。文章得出的结论如下:第一,辽河旅游带旅游—经济—环境系统的耦合协调发展水平在研究时段内由勉强协调上升为初级协调,后期耦合协调度数值有所增加,但是没有迈入更高一层的水平,始终徘徊在初级协调的状态。随着时间的变化,辽河旅游带4个城市旅游—经济—环境耦合协调发展类型表现出两极分化的局面,即部分地区为旅游、经济发展超前型,部分地区为环境发展超前型,且研究时段内类型变化不大。第二,2005-2013年间,辽河旅游带旅游—经济—环境系统耦合协调发展水平的空间变化呈现出地区的差异性。盘锦市的耦合协调水平为逐年好转的态势,铁岭和鞍山两市则始终位于濒临失调的层阶,沈阳市是在曲折中向前发展。第三,经GM(1,1)模型模拟预测,在未来2014-2018年间,辽河旅游带上4个城市中有3个城市的协调发展水平呈上升趋势,整体的发展形势较好。但是辽河旅游带的耦合协调水平始终位于初级协调的等级,耦合协调度提升幅度较小。第四,坚持可持续发展的思想,以政府主导为主,加强区域合作,调整产业结构、完善法律法规等,使辽河旅游带持续向前协调发展。
[Abstract]:With the concept of sustainable development being paid more and more attention, the coordinated development of tourism, economy and environment has been paid more and more attention. By calculating the degree of coupling and coordination among tourism, economy and environment, it is a preferred research method to analyze the coupling and coordination development of tourism-economic-environment system by using quantitative analysis method. This paper focuses on the four cities where the Liaohe tourist belt is located. Based on the theory of coupling coordination degree and the development status of four cities in Liaohe tourist belt, the paper calculates the coupling coordination degree of tourism-economic-environment system in this area. The characteristics of temporal and spatial evolution of coupling and coordination in 9 years are analyzed. By using the grey prediction model GMX1 / 1, the coupled and coordinated development level of the tourism-economic-environment system in the Liaohe tourist belt from 2014 to 2018 is forecasted, and the numerical value obtained is analyzed. Finally, the paper puts forward corresponding development strategies and suggestions. The conclusions are as follows: first, the level of coupling and coordination of tourism-economic-environment system in Liaohe tourist belt increased from barely coordinated to primary coordination in the period of study, and the degree of coupling coordination increased in the later period. But did not step into the higher level, always hovering in the state of primary coordination. With the change of time, the coordinated development of tourism, economy and environment in four cities of Liaohe tourist belt shows a polarized situation, that is, tourism in some areas, advanced in economic development, and advanced in environmental development in some areas. There was little change in the type during the study period. From 2005 to 2013, the spatial variation of the coupled level of tourism, economy and environment in the Liaohe tourist belt showed regional differences. The level of coupling and coordination in Panjin City is improving year by year, while Tieling and Anshan cities are always on the level of being on the verge of maladjustment, and Shenyang is developing forward in twists and turns. Thirdly, according to the GMM1Q1) model, in the coming 2014-2018, the coordinated development level of three of the four cities in the Liaohe tourist belt is on the rise, and the overall development situation is better. However, the level of coupling coordination of Liaohe tourist belt is always at the level of primary coordination, and the degree of coupling coordination is small. Fourth, we should adhere to the idea of sustainable development, give priority to the government, strengthen regional cooperation, adjust the industrial structure, perfect the laws and regulations, and make the Liaohe tourist belt develop in a coordinated way.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F592.7

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