延边入境旅游与经济增长关系的实证研究

发布时间：2018-06-11 10:05

本文选题：延边 + 入境旅游　；参考：《延边大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：自从1978年改革开放以来,中国的经济得到了快速的发展,第三产业在国民经济中的比重越来越大。作为第三产业当中的重要组成部分,旅游的收入也成为了人们关注的经济发展要点。随着经济的发展,人民的可支配收入增多,旅游逐渐变成人们越来越关注的焦点,旅游收入在国民经济中的比重逐渐增大,政府也采取了相应的政策支持旅游事业的发展。20世纪末,我国政府将旅游业列为新经济的重要增长点,这更加推动了旅游业的发展。随着中国社会地位逐渐的提高,外国人民来中国旅游的愿望逐渐增高,入境旅游人数逐年上升,入境旅游外汇收入也有上升趋势。本文研究了延边入境旅游资源现状,同时从入境旅游收入和经济增长的关系为侧重点进行分析,试图找出GDP和入境旅游收入的联系,利用计量经济学的方法计算并检验国内生产总值和入境旅游收入之间的关系,探讨是否入境旅游能够成为延边朝鲜族自治州主要的经济增长点,在未来的发展趋势中,如何合理提升入境旅游收入,使其成为提高延边经济的重要部分,对延边经济起重要的推动作用。本文主要分为五个部分,第一部分是绪论,主要介绍选题的背景和研究的意义、国外研究的现状,国内研究现状,研究的方法等。第二部分是相关的概念以及理论研究,主要内容是入境游的概念、入境游客的概念及入境旅游的影响等相关的理论研究。第三部分分析延边入境旅游资源优势以及延边旅游业经济增长状况以及入境旅游的作用,对客源市场进行简单分析。第四部分为延边入境旅游发展与经济增长的实证分析。从数据的来源和变量的选取当中分析入境旅游与经济增长的关系,利用EVIEWS7.2软件建立入境旅游的模型评估、方差分解分析以及格兰杰因果关系检验等分析方法解释入境旅游和经济增长之间存在着的关系,以及结论分析。第五部分根据以上的分析进行总结,得出结论,提出相关建议以及未来的展望。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up in 1978, China's economy has developed rapidly and the proportion of the third industry in the national economy is increasing. As an important part of the third industry, the income of tourism has become the main point of economic development. With the development of the economy, the people's disposable income is increasing, and tourism has gradually changed. The focus of the growing concern for adults, the proportion of tourism income in the national economy, the government has also adopted a corresponding policy to support the development of tourism in the.20 century. Our government has listed tourism as an important growth point of the new economy, which has promoted the development of tourism. With the gradual improvement of China's social status, The desire of the Chinese people to travel to China is increasing, the number of inbound tourism is rising year by year, and the foreign exchange income of inbound tourism is also rising. This paper studies the status of Yanbian's inbound tourism resources, and analyses the relationship between inbound tourism income and economic growth, and tries to find out the connection between GDP and inbound tourism income. The method of econometrics is used to calculate and examine the relationship between GDP and inbound tourism income, and to explore whether inbound tourism can become the main economic growth point in Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture. In the future development trend, how to improve the income of inbound tourism, make it an important part of improving the economy of Yanbian, and to Yanbian Jing Jing This article is mainly divided into five parts. The first part is the introduction, which mainly introduces the background and significance of the topic, the status of foreign research, the status of domestic research, the method of research, and so on. The second part is related concepts and theoretical studies. The main content is the concept of inbound tourism, the concept and entry of inbound tourists. The third part analyses the advantages of Yanbian's inbound tourism resources, the economic growth of Yanbian tourism and the role of inbound tourism, and makes a simple analysis of the tourist market. The fourth part is the empirical analysis of the development and economic growth of Yanbian's inbound tourism and the selection of the data sources and variables The relationship between inbound tourism and economic growth is analyzed, and EVIEWS7.2 software is used to establish the model assessment of inbound tourism, analysis of variance decomposition and Grainger causality test to explain the relationship between inbound tourism and economic growth, as well as the conclusion analysis. The fifth part concludes the analysis based on the above analysis. Conclusions, suggestions and future prospects are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：延边大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F592.7;F127

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