18世纪山东省的粮食供求与价格研究

发布时间：2018-05-01 21:45

本文选题：粮食供求 + 人均粮食占有量　；参考：《中国经济史研究》2017年05期

【摘要】：正18世纪是中国传统社会发展的高峰时期,政治稳定、经济繁荣、人口增加,这些都与农业生产的发展息息相关。以往对于清代农业经济史的研究或偏重生产,或偏重流通;生产是流通的基础,"生产既支配着与生产要素相对而言的生产自身,也支配着其他要素"。本文试图将粮食的生产和流通贯通起来,探索上述宏观背景下山东省的社会经济发展。本文的研究内容主要分为两大部分,第一部分详细考证了18世纪山东省的耕地、人口、亩产量、耕作制度等,并且对全省人地关系、人均粮食占有量、仓储存粮进行了量化估算,进而从总体上确定了全省的粮食供求状况。在此基础上,第二部分探究18世纪山东省粮食价格的时间序列特征,包括季节性、不规则波动、长期趋势。此外,还用统计和计量方法分析了山东省内粮食市场的整合。
[Abstract]:The 18th century is the peak period of the development of Chinese traditional society. Political stability, economic prosperity and population increase are closely related to the development of agricultural production. In the past, the research on the history of agricultural economy in the Qing Dynasty focused on production or circulation. Production is the basis of circulation. "production dominates the production itself relative to the factors of production, but also dominates other elements." This paper attempts to link the production and circulation of grain to explore the social and economic development of Shandong Province under the above macro background. The research contents of this paper are mainly divided into two parts. The first part makes a detailed study of the cultivated land, population, per mu yield, farming system, etc., of Shandong Province in the 18th century, and the relationship between people and land in the province, the per capita grain possession, etc. The quantitative estimation of stored grain was carried out, and the supply and demand of grain in the whole province was determined. On this basis, the second part explores the time series characteristics of grain prices in Shandong Province in the 18th century, including seasonality, irregular fluctuations and long term trends. In addition, it also analyzes the integration of grain market in Shandong province with statistical and metrological methods.
【作者单位】：山西大学晋商学研究所暨山西省晋商学与区域经济发展协同创新中心;
【分类号】：F329

【相似文献】