资产专用性、不确定性与水稻种植模式选择

发布时间：2018-05-24 15:37

本文选题：资产专用性 + 水稻种植模式　；参考：《华南农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年05期

【摘要】：从资产专用性与不确定性视角,运用二元Logistic模型实证分析了水稻种植模式选择的影响因素。研究结果表明:资产专用性与不确定性对水稻种植模式选择的影响,部分通过显著性检验;家庭中50岁以上务农劳动力越多、村庄交通条件越好,农户选择种植两季水稻的概率越低;务农劳动力兼业、拥有整地机械、灌溉条件越好,农户选择种植两季水稻的可能性更大,其中务农劳动力通过兼业使劳动时间错峰配置实现劳动力最优利用,最终使农户倾向于种植两季水稻。水田面积与稻农选择两季水稻种植模式呈现倒U型的关系;家庭务农劳动力人数、农业收入占比等控制变量对农户水稻种植模式选择的影响显著。政府应继续培育新型农业经营主体,发展适度规模经营,加大农机补贴力度,提高社会化服务水平,应对农业劳动力不足与弱质化的问题,提高农户种植两季水稻的积极性。
[Abstract]:From the perspective of asset specificity and uncertainty, this paper empirically analyzed the influencing factors of rice planting pattern selection by using dual Logistic model. The results show that the effects of asset specificity and uncertainty on the selection of rice planting patterns are partly tested by significance, and the more rural labor force over 50 years of age in households, the better the traffic conditions in villages. The lower the probability of farmers choosing to plant two-season rice, the more likely farmers are to choose to plant two-season rice if they work concurrently in agriculture and labor, possess land preparation machinery, and have better irrigation conditions. Among them, the agricultural labor force realizes the optimal utilization of the labor force through part-time employment, which makes the farmers tend to plant two-season rice. The relationship between paddy field area and paddy farmers' selection of two-season rice planting pattern was inversely U-shaped, and the controlling variables such as the number of family farm labor force and the proportion of agricultural income had a significant influence on farmers' rice planting pattern selection. The government should continue to cultivate the main body of new agricultural management, develop moderate scale management, increase the subsidy of agricultural machinery, improve the level of socialized service, deal with the problems of shortage and weakness of agricultural labor force, and improve the enthusiasm of farmers to plant two-season rice.
【作者单位】：华南农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金重点项目(71333004) 国家社会科学基金重点项目(17AJL013) 广东省高校人文社科重大项目(gxskzd018)
【分类号】：F326.11

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