城乡一体化进程中江西农村居民消费需求变迁研究

发布时间：2018-05-29 03:13

本文选题：农村居民 + 消费需求　；参考：《江西农业大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：消费对稳定经济增长发挥着基础作用,扩大农村消费对提高居民整体消费能力有重要意义。本文从江西省目前农村居民消费需求不足的背景出发,运用消费经济理论,采用规范分析与实证分析相结合的方法,探究农村居民消费需求的变化趋势及引致变迁的驱动因素。行文整体思路为:分析变化趋势——探求驱动因素——提出政策建议。本文首先阐述基础概要,基于统计年鉴官方定义对研究对象进行概念界定,介绍国外消费理论并归纳总结国内相关学术研究成果。进而运用描述性统计方法从消费水平和消费结构两个角度对江西省农村居民消费需求的变化趋势进行分析。从理论上探析消费需求变迁的原因,在实证上创新地使用主成分分析法将选取的十个驱动因素指标转化为四个综合指标,分析相关性较强的驱动因素。最后总结通篇的研究结论,结合省情试图提出有意义的政策建议。自2003至2012年江西省农村居民消费需求的变化趋势为:消费水平不断提高,消费需求数量不断提升,而城乡消费水平差距较大;消费结构呈优化态势,由基本的物质生活需求向更高层次的精神消费需求发展,逐渐由生存型向发展型和享受型升级。农村居民消费需求变迁的驱动因素表示为消费主体、支付能力、消费意愿和实现环境四个综合指标,根据下设的十个指标的主成分载荷矩阵显示消费主体和支付能力与消费需求相关性较强。现阶段扩大江西省农村居民消费需求的主要途径是促进农村居民增收,提高农村居民支付能力。
[Abstract]:Consumption plays a fundamental role in stabilizing economic growth, and expanding rural consumption plays an important role in improving the overall consumption capacity of residents. Based on the background of the shortage of consumption demand of rural residents in Jiangxi Province, this paper, using the theory of consumption economy and the method of combining normative analysis with empirical analysis, explores the changing trend of consumption demand of rural residents and the driving factors leading to the change. The whole train of thought is to analyze the trend of change-to explore the driving factors-to put forward policy recommendations. This paper first expounds the basic outline, defines the object of study based on the official definition of statistical yearbook, introduces the foreign consumption theory and summarizes the domestic relevant academic research results. Then using descriptive statistical method to analyze the changing trend of consumption demand of rural residents in Jiangxi Province from the perspective of consumption level and consumption structure. Based on the theoretical analysis of the reasons for the change of consumer demand, the principal component analysis (PCA) is used to transform the ten selected indicators into four comprehensive indexes, and to analyze the driving factors with strong correlation. Finally, the conclusion of the whole study is summarized, and some meaningful policy suggestions are put forward according to the situation of the province. From 2003 to 2012, the trend of consumption demand of rural residents in Jiangxi Province is as follows: the consumption level is increasing, the quantity of consumption demand is increasing, and the gap between urban and rural consumption level is large, and the consumption structure is optimized. From the basic material life demand to the higher level spiritual consumption demand, gradually from the survival type to the development type and the enjoyment type upgrade. The driving factors of rural residents' consumption demand change are as follows: the main body of consumption, the ability to pay, the willingness to consume and the realization of the environment. According to the principal component load matrix of the ten indexes, the correlation between the consumption main body and the ability to pay and the consumption demand is strong. At present, the main way to expand the consumption demand of rural residents in Jiangxi Province is to increase the income of rural residents and improve their ability to pay.
【学位授予单位】：江西农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F323.8

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