对增加农牧民收入的西藏财政支农政策实证研究

发布时间：2019-04-09 15:59

【摘要】：农业的发展与我国国民经济的运行密不可分,农牧业的发展对西藏国民经济的运行至关重要,但是农牧业具有明显的弱质性特征,所以,更好的促进农业的较好发展需要充分发挥政府的宏观调控作用,加大财政支持,促进经济的发展和社会的稳定。西藏是以农牧业为主的,农牧业对西藏来说至关重要。自1990年至2014年,西藏农牧民收入由582元增加至8244元,较以往有所增加,与此同时城乡居民之间收入差距也在不断拉大,而增加农牧民收入是缩小城乡的收入差距的重要一步。财政作为政府的一种有效宏观调控手段,有责任采取措施提高农牧民收入。本研究首先对西藏1990年至2014年财政支农政策现状从绝对规模、相对规模以及财政支农政策强度三个方面进行了分析,可知西藏目前财政支农方面的投入力度不够;财政支农支出对农业和农村经济发展的贡献率比较低等。其次,对西藏财政支农政策的结构进行分析,得出西藏财政支农政策各个部分比例失衡。第三,对西藏农牧民收入阶段、现状以及问题进行归纳,利用VAR模型,平稳性检验,格兰杰因果关系检验等模型来分析西藏财政支农政策对农牧民收入的影响,得出结论二者之间存在长期的正相关关系。最后,提出增加西藏农牧民增收的财政政策措施,包括保持对西藏财政支农资金及规模的投入,进一步优化财政支农支出结构,并提高农牧民自身综合素质等。
[Abstract]:The development of agriculture is closely related to the operation of our national economy, and the development of agriculture and animal husbandry is vital to the operation of the national economy in Tibet, but the agriculture and animal husbandry has obvious weak quality characteristics, so the better development of agriculture needs to give full play to the macro-control effect of the government, Increase financial support and promote the development of the economy and the stability of society. Tibet is the main agricultural and animal husbandry, and the agriculture and animal husbandry is of great importance to Tibet. From 1990 to 2014, the income of Tibetan farmers and herdsmen increased from 582 yuan to 8244 yuan, more than ever. At the same time, the income gap between urban and rural residents is widening, and the increase of the income of farmers and herdsmen is an important step to narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas. As an effective macro-control means of the government, finance has the responsibility to take measures to improve the income of farmers and herdsmen. The first part of this study is to analyze the current status of the fiscal and non-agricultural policy in Tibet from 1990 to 2014 from three aspects: the absolute scale, the relative scale and the strength of the financial support and agriculture policy. The contribution of financial support to agriculture and rural economic development is low. Secondly, the paper analyses the structure of the fiscal and agriculture policy in Tibet, and draws a conclusion that the proportion of the various parts of the fiscal and agriculture policy in Tibet is out-of-balance. Third, the author sums up the income stage, the present situation and the problems of the Tibetan farmers and herdsmen, and uses the models of VAR model, stationarity test and Granger causality test to analyze the effect of the financial support policy on the income of the farmers and herdsmen, and concludes that there is a long-term positive correlation between them. Finally, the paper puts forward the fiscal policy measures to increase the income of the Tibetan farmers and herdsmen, including the investment of the financial support and the scale of the Tibetan financial support, the further optimization of the expenditure structure of the financial support and agriculture, and the improvement of the comprehensive quality of the farmers and herdsmen.
【学位授予单位】：西藏大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F812.8;F323.8

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