南疆区域经济差异对农业经济增长的影响

发布时间：2017-12-31 19:36

本文关键词：南疆区域经济差异对农业经济增长的影响　出处：《农业现代化研究》2015年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：针对当前南疆地区农业经济发展不平衡现象,采用聚类分析、主成分分析、库兹涅茨比率和R/S分析等定量分析方法,研究南疆地区农业经济差异的现状及其影响因素,并预测区域农业经济发展不平衡现象的发展趋势。结果表明,南疆五地州可依据其农业经济结构和发展水平可划分为三种类型,即非农经济主导地区、农业经济稳定发展地区及农业经济落后地区;而造成南疆地区农业经济区域差异的主要因素有二,一是农业人口中的高、低收入人群及其收入比重的差异,二是农业劳动生产率。就南疆五地州的农业经济综合竞争力而言,喀什地区最强,克州最弱,两地区人口规模、基础发展水平和自然地理条件等方面的差异是造成这一现象的主要原因。目前南疆地区区域农业经济差异已超过警戒水平,并对农业经济的持续稳定发展产生不利影响,且这种差异仍将长期存在,区域农业经济差异继续增大的可能性很高。
[Abstract]:Aiming at the unbalanced development of agricultural economy in southern Xinjiang, cluster analysis, principal component analysis, Kuznets ratio and R / S analysis were used. This paper studies the present situation and influencing factors of agricultural economic difference in southern Xinjiang, and forecasts the development trend of unbalanced development of regional agricultural economy. The five prefectures of southern Xinjiang can be divided into three types according to their agricultural economic structure and development level, that is, the leading areas of non-agricultural economy, the stable development areas of agricultural economy and the backward areas of agricultural economy. There are two main factors that cause the regional difference of agricultural economy in southern Xinjiang. One is the difference between the high and low income groups and the proportion of their income in the agricultural population. The second is agricultural labor productivity. In terms of the comprehensive competitiveness of agricultural economy in the five regions of southern Xinjiang, Kashi is the strongest and Kezhou is the weakest, and the population scale of the two regions is the weakest. The differences in basic development level and physical geographical conditions are the main reasons for this phenomenon. At present, the regional agricultural economic differences in southern Xinjiang have exceeded the warning level. It also has a negative effect on the sustainable and stable development of agricultural economy, and this difference will still exist for a long time, and the possibility of regional agricultural economic difference continues to increase is very high.
【作者单位】：塔里木大学经济与管理学院;阿拉尔市城区公安局刑事科学技术室;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目(11XRK004) 塔里木大学校长基金项目(TDSKZD1102)
【分类号】：F327
【正文快照】： 农业是国民经济的基础,是人类赖以生存与发展的基础产业。研究农业经济增长及影响其增长的各种因素,对发展农业,解决“三农”问题具有重大的现实意义[1]。新疆是典型的绿洲农业,受资源禀赋、政策等诸多因素影响,其农业区域经济差异近年来呈逐步扩大态势[2]。尤其近几年,随着新

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